Cambridgeshire Handicap 2025 - Horse Racing Analysis

Newmarket 3.40

5/1 Treble Tee, 6/1 Fifth Column, 9/1 Fort George
9/1 Westridge, 11/1 Tribal Chief, 12/1 Boiling Point
14/1 Greek Order, 14/1 Real Gain, 16/1 Cash
16/1 Thunder Run, Treasure Time, 20/1 Ebt's Guard
20/1 Erzindjan,20/1 Indalo, 20/1 Marhaba Ghaiyyath,
25/1 Mister Winston, 25/1 Great Chieftain, Urban Lion
28/1 Mr Swivell, 33/1 Dutch Decoy, Sir Paul Ramsey
40/1 Savvy Victory, Silver Sword, 50/1 Divine Knight.

Cambridgeshire Handicap 9f

Smaller field than usual

BOILING POINT is topweight

Last seen in a Group 3 race

Horses from pattern races
Have a horrible 1-195 record
Only the 2013 winner did it
This takes out the following

BOILING POINT
THUNDER RUN

TREBLE TEE is a 3 year old
Well treated and improving 3yo

Horses winning last time
Running in the last 20 days
Have a 0-42 record in this
Those aged 3 like him 0-11
TREBLE TEE fails this stat
Don't see this as a dealbreaker
Much will depend on Stall 7

Last years winner was drawn 4
Previous 8 winners all drawn 15 +

FIFTH COLUMN is drawn 18

On the edge of a good draw
He does just fail this angle

Since the stalls renumbered
Horses drawn in stalls 10-18
Have a winless 0-125 record
Given there are just 24 runners
I'd be inclined to ignore that

Horses aged 3
Over 6 career starts
Absent over 22 days
Have a 1-49 record in this
That winner back in 2012
Carried 6lbs less weight
FIFTH COLUMN has this profile

So do the following horses

FORT GEORGE
MARHABA GHAIYYATH
MISTER WINSTON

Horses winning last time
Running in the last 20 days
Have a 0-42 record in this
The following both fail this

INDALO
TRIBLE CHIEF

TRIBLE CHIEF comes from a sire
Whose winners over 9f and further
Have only won in lower grades

Horses sired by Sioux Nation
Running over 9f and beyond
In Class 3 and higher grade
Have a 0-24 record so far
TRIBAL CHIEF has this profile

Horses sired by Sioux Nation
Running over 9f and beyond
In Class 2 and higher grade
Have a 1-44 record so far
In fields of 9 or more runners
They have a 0-32 record
TRIBAL CHIEF has this profile

EBT'S GUARD is too exposed
ERZINDJAN is too old aged 7

GREAT CHIEFTAIN resistible
With just the 1 run in 116 days

REAL GAIN is a 5 year old
He looks underraced this year

Past renewals show
Horses aged 3
Going up in class
Absent over 22 days
Have a 0-25 record
The following horses fail

FORT GEORGE
MISTER WINSTON

CASH is a 6 year old
He only has 13 career starts

Go back 25 years
Horses aged 5 or older
Under 18 career starts
Have a 0-76 record in this
The following all fail this

REAL GAIN 9 runs

CASH 13 runs

GREEK ORDER 15 runs

Shortlist

WESTRIDGE

TREASURE TIME

WESTRIDGE has a chance
Only just scrapes through
On sire stats by Blue Point

TREASURE TIME is a 4yo
Won't be shocked if he wins

One or two others

Would not be a surprise winner

FIFTH COLUMN could easily win

TREBLE TEE can not be ruled out

Decided to pivot

Topweight

BOILING POINT

Comes from a Group 3 race

Fails a big angle doing that

But most doing that were not fancied
The one horse that managed to do it

Was a 4 year old like him
Had a 35 day absence like him

There are other considerations

There are 11 fewer runners this year
The smallest field for over 3 decades
Many of the field are rank outsiders

The Topweight won in 2024
The Topweight won in 2023

This race is now being won
Buy higher rated classier types
BOILING POINT offers us that

Obviously stall 6 is a dilemma
More chance it is a bad draw
But feel he must be on staking

Selection

£2.50 Each Way BOILING POINT 12/1-14/1 (WON at 14/1 SP )

£2.50 Each Way TREASURE TIME 12/1-14/1

1/5 Odds

1-2-3-4-5-6