Greatwood Hurdle

 

Sunday 17th November

Cheltenham 3.30


Race Statistics

Past winners

Had these lifetime runs

5 9 5 22 11 32 10 5 9 9 6
14 12 7 17 19 8 14 17 10

18 of the last 20 winners
Had between 5 and 19 runs

Go back to 2003
Horses with 20 + career runs
Have a poor 3-100 record
Those absent over 16 days
Have a winless 0-70 record

Past winners
Had these Hurdle runs

4 6 5 10 12 7 5 6 8
3 14 5 6 9 4 5 5 3 6

Horses with under 13 hurdle runs
Have won 18 of the last 19 renewals
Horses with 15+ hurdles are 0-53

Age of recent winners

5 5 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 6 4 5
7 5 5 4 6 5 5 8 5 5 5

Age Statistics

Since 2003

4 year olds 4-60
5 year olds 11-103
6 year olds 3-82
7 year olds 3-36
8 year olds + 0-42

4 year olds

Won 4 past renewals
Won off 128 145 149 148
Only 1 has won first time out
That was Dell' Arca in 2013
Past winners aged 4
Running this season
Have all won last time
Those that did not are 0-28

Horses aged 4
From a race only for 4yo's
Have a 0-24 record in this

5 year olds

Won 11 past renewals
With the following hurdle runs
4 6 12 7 5 8 6 4 5 6
Those winning first time out
All had under 8 career starts

Horses aged 5
From recent handicap hurdles
Have a 3-40 record
They all came from Class 2 +
None from Class 3 or lower

6 year olds

Won 3 past renewals
They had 11 15 17 career runs
They had 8 15 13 hurdle runs
Won from ratings of 136 140 137

Horses aged 6
Under 11 career starts
Have a 0-30 record in this

Horses aged 6 or more
Running this season are 2-108
Both came from Novice races

Horses aged 6 or more
From recent handicaps
Have a poor 0-94 record

7 year olds won 2011-2102
They have won 3 renewals
Won with 5 9 10 hurdle runs

8 year olds have won this once
Rooster Booster back in 2002
None aged 9 or more has won

Since it became graded
Horses aged 8 or older
Have a 0-37 record in it

Few fillies run none won recently

4 first time out winners since 2010
These all had 5 5 7 5 6 lifetime runs
They also had 4 5 6 5 3 hurdle races
These were all very lightly raced

Official Ratings of past winners
126 142 134 128 137 126 137
126 145 141 145 144 128 136
149 151 143 124 137 148 120

Horses running this year
From a Novice of Maiden Hurdle
Have a 0-22 record in the race
Horses running first time out
From a Novice of Maiden Hurdle
Have a 0-9 record in this race

Horses from Graded novices
Have a 5-46 record in this race
4 of these seasonal debutants
Having 5 5 3 6 previous hurdle runs

Past winners
Had the following absences

204 240 631 14 37
16 15  219 23 22 157
15 219 190 22

Horses from handicap hurdles
Running this season are 5-125
Those aged 6 or more are 0-72

Horses from handicap hurdles
Having just 1 run this season
Have a 3-70 record in them all
All 3 winners were aged 4-5-4
Those aged 6 or more are 0-38
They all had under 10 career runs
Those with 10 or more runs 0-38
Those finishing 4th or worse 0-30

Horses Aged 6 or older
Coming from Class 2 or lower
Have a 0-79 record in this race

 

 

Quick Early Comments


DYSART ENOS is favourite

She is a 6yo mare

6 career runs
3 hurdles
3 bumpers

The Racing Post podcaster
Seems rather full of hyperbole
Coming out with this little gem

"The best-handicapped horse
  in Britain and Ireland"

If you go by Racing Post Ratings

Those comments are ridiculous

Her figures of hurdles 117 123 121

But she runs off a rating of 131

Yes she's a triple bumper winner
Including a a graded class bumper
But that was only a mares race

In terms of the Greatwood

6 year olds are only 3-82

Not the best age for the race

The 3 winning 6 year olds

Had 11 15 17 career runs
DYSART ENOS only has 6

Had 8 15 13 hurdle runs
DYSART ENOS only has 3

Horses aged 6
Under 11 career starts
Have a 0-30 record in this
DYSART ENOS 31st to try
None before her have won

17 of the last 19 winners
Had more hurdling experience

Horses Aged 6 or older
Coming from Class 2 or lower
Have a 0-79 record in this race
DYSART ENOS fails this as well

Not even factored in
That she is also a mare

She may go and win

But at 3/1 or shorter with her profile

Likely I will be opposing her
with a bigger odds alternate