The November Handicap At Doncaster - Race Trends

The Last race of the Flat Season


Ante Post Statistics

Saturday 9th November

Doncaster 3.45

November Handicap


Horses aged 7 or more
Have a poor 1-63 record in this
Only 1 has won since the 1970's
He was very lightly raced horse

Go back to 1997
Horses aged 6 or more
Having over 16 career starts
Have a  poor 1-100 record

Horses with over 20 runs
Tend not to win this race
If you go back to 2004
Horses with over 20 runs
Have a poor 3-123 record

Horses with over 20 runs
Carrying over 9st weight
Have a 0-30 record in them

Horses with over 20 runs
Under 3 runs in 3 months
Have a 0-41 record in them

Horses with over 20 runs
Coming up in trip are 0-46

You want 4 + runs this season
Only horses with under 11 runs
Can be forgiven under 4 runs
Unless seasonal debutants

Horses with 11 or more races
Should have at least 4 runs
During the last calendar year
Horses without that are 0-60

Horses with 1 run in 3 months
Have a 0-93 record in this race

No horse has won this 
Coming from 2m 1f or further
Horses that did that were 0-30

Horses need a good recent run
Every past winner since 2008
Who had raced that season
Were beaten under 10 lengths

Winners aged 4
Had the following career runs
6 15 24 39 21 26 12 15 14

Horses aged 4 with under 12 runs
Have a 1-65 record in recent years

Horses aged 4
Who won their previous race
Have a 1-41 record since 1997
Last time 4yo winners score badly
That winner was recent in 2018

Horses aged 4
Won from these handicap marks
105 95 93 97 98 89 75

Past winners
Had the following days absences

25 245 29 42 199 44 101 21
4 58 14 51 22 35 57 35 41 36
26 14 15 7 34 15 41 24

Long absences are acceptable
If the horses is lightly raced

Horses with over 6 runs
Absent over 58 days are 1-45

Horses aged 3
Coming up from 10f or shorter
Won 2 past renewals (1999 2002)
Horses doing it had 13 + 15 runs

Horses aged 4 and older
Winning last time
More than 6 career runs
Absent over 4 days
Have a 0-66 record since 1997
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Note that we ducked analysing the November Handicap in 2023
due to the fact that it was moved from its traditional Doncaster home
to Newcastle on the All Weather.

2002 Whilst not fully glorious was pretty accurate in its shortlisting and did produce a profit.

See November Handicap Day 2022

More detailed analysis and eventual conclusions
for this 2024 race will be carried out in time for the day of race message
which will cover this race plus numerous other races.

This is available via our Weekender Service
or via our Saturday Day Pass