RACING SYSTEMS or FORM BOOK
There has been a debate over many years between "SYSTEMITES"
and FORM STUDENTS as to the best way to proceed to betting
The systemites believe that the best chance you have
of making money is not through form analysis, but through
historical data and number crunching mounds of raw racing
data over the years in an effort to identify successfull
avenues to profit.
The form students on the other hand believe that the
only way you can prosper is through meticulous study
in the form book .
Both sides have respected and successful players and
the debate is still many years from being settled .
Horse Racing Systems are forms of betting that reflect
years of data, concerning multiple angles such as Trainers,
Jockeys, Horses, Sires, Ground, Class, Courses, Favourites,
Outsiders, Absences, Fitness, Owners, Ages of Horses,
Weight Penalties and many more types of angle that have
historically proven to be profitable over the years.
One example of a simple system approach may be the
fact that if you followed all the offspring of Rubiano
on the All Weather, you would have made massive profits
as they have an astonishing record and are under bet
as people have not realised yet how strong a Sire Rubiano
is on fibresand.
The critics of systems will point out that once that
knowledge has been identified and being used by many,
then it will inevitably start to reflect on the Starting
Prices of such horses which will reduce. Subsequently
long term the system will move into a loss making situation.
There appears to be a lot of sense in both arguments,
but the Rubiano example is one of thousands of possible
systems that can be adapted and developed that could
win you money.
FORM STUDENTS believe that the past Form of racehorses
is by far the best angle that you can use. If Horse
A beats Horse B then under similar conditions it should
do so again.
One step further is collateral form where they say
that if Horse A beats horse B and If horse B then in
another race beats Horse C then should Horse A meet
Horse C Horse A should win.
Obviously its far more complicated than that in practise
and collateral form lines can be long and arduous ,
but they generally believe that past Form can separate
the abilities of horses and identify winning bets.
One thing I have learnt is that its very hard to persuade
anyone from either camp that they are going about things
the wrong way .
So which side are we on ?
Many years ago I was anti - systems as I didn't really
scope that this style of betting had,and I was firmly
a "Form book" junkie.
Over the years you refine your betting and continue
learning and I would say that my position has changed
a lot. I am not afraid to change when I think I am wrong.
I stand in neither camp now . I firmly believe that
anyone who adopts a rigid in-flexible position and who
is unable to consider the merits of other forms of analysis,
is going to struggle to win .
If the form book says a horse is an even money chance
to win and yet the statistics prove that the trainer
has sent hundreds of horses to that specific track and
failed to train a winner there before, then you are
a fool if you don't take notice of that .
Similarly if a system identifies that you should religiously
bet a certain type of horse blindly under certain conditions,
you would be foolish not to use the Form book to see
what possible flaws this has in relation to the opposition
that day .
Sometimes differences of opinions in the Middle East
seem easier to settle than these two strong willed sides
whose joint aim is to make money through betting . I
know people who make regular profits at racing through
following well researched systems developed and proven
over a number of years. Equally I know people who win
money at betting every year through analysis of Form
The issue as a Racing Tipster is far more complicated.
I know of No Service that can win clients money at Racing
using a single-angle approach. Its far harder for people
to win "others" money than themselves, and
you have to use a sensible combination of both in order
Knowledge is Power and you are wrong to ignore anything
help you reach your goals . I use the Form Book, but
I am in no way a slave to it and can see its inadequacies
are glaring at times. I also use a strong historical
perspective in my betting and do not flaunt bets in
the face of proven systems or historical trends that
have been discovered over the years
I am only happy when every angle has been covered
and my selection can stand up against the most rigorous
of test from both the Form Book and the Systemites.