Thursday August 21st 2002

===================

1) Please Remember There No Message Friday ( Tommorrow) as I,m having my
last Treatment

2) Yesterday There were severe mail delays. Particularly AOL members were
affected. The Message was sent at 11.15 am yesterday as was the phone line
updated at that time. I couldnt do any more. Apologies if you didnt get the
Mail in time for racing.It seems many were affected.

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

The Best Bet of The Day

When you are Betting at the prices we are these days, the hardest task is
consistency. We,ve done so well this year betting around the 6/1 mark, and
when you then Bet on a grade 1 track , You are always aware that its a tall
order. I,m moving to YORK Today for my Best Bet , its a tough race but its
going to be about 7/1 and I love its chance. Take an early price. This
ought to be 6/1 or 7/1 but WILL Be shorter .

York 4.50 (5) SUGGESTIVE

Win Bet .
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Yesterdays Summary

FLETCHER ran mid-pack in a false run race. The Girl lost her place and I
think the horse lost interest after losing a decent early position, but it
was a strange race as you could have nominated any number of winners who
all seemed to come and go. The Cobwebs are off now .
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Todays Racing

FOLKESTONE and MUSSELBURGH Dissapointed me greatly today. There is the
added worry that heavy rain is forecast at ALL 3 Tracks today so You cant
be absolutely sure that you are betting horses on the right Going.

Musselburgh 2.25= Turned out harder than I thought. I think THUNDER CANYON
is the value at 13/2 "each way " as this gets weight for age for the first
time , and has been running on the wrong ground. This is a Fast ground
animal . 13/2 is value . The Main "negative " would be Flash of Memory whom
i,d have in at over twice the paper odds. A few of the others have big
chances as well , but I,d stay with THUNDER CANYON .

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Musselburgh 4.40 = The ground is Currently fast here and Kevin Ryan has
kept SHORT RESPITE away from fast ground and its highly likely that this
may be too fast for him ( without rain that is )and i,d oppose him. I,m
even more confident that SCURRA is a mudlark and drying ground will kill
his chance . I Think STING LIKE A BEE is still far too short at 7/4 . Thats
only as Cecil trains him. He wont win for me. I like FIROZI at 7/1 just as
much as the favourite if not more, and hes value for me at 7/1 in a race
where there IS Strength in depth quite Deep. IF Dottie Digger , at 20/1
wears Sheepskin Cheekpieces I may just risk some on him at 20/1 now he has
his favoured fast ground . The other "rick" is the 15/2 about KRISTENSEN
Who only has to give the Fav 6lbs, yet has a 7lbs claimer and has done
things Sting Like A Bee must be very envious of this year. I may have to
lay this silly favourite as well . IF Rain comes before the race then
SHORT RESPITE Will be my Bet .

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Folkestone 4.30 = Nearly played heavily here. I loved 3 and hated 3 . MY
PLEDGE Was going to be my Bet from a stable that loves winning at this
track and this will have been Laid out for this and has a great chance . He
ran in the same race as ROUSING THUNDER Did last time and Visually I just
could not see how My Pledge could beat Rousing Thunder despite better terms
and that dissapointed me as I wanted to be with MY PLEDGE. I Also loved the
ex Sean Woods runner ANOTHER TIME at these weights and these 3 can be
confidently permed in a small forecast/tricast for me. I Hated the soft
ground loving Bonella and Dont fancy Birth Of The Blues. My Strongest bet
in this race Will be a split stake bet on MY PLEDGE and ROUSING THUNDER and
If they trade at about 6/1 each then its 5/2 the pair and that will do for
me .

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Folkestone 3.25 = I,m laying the favourite Siraj If it starts as short as
1-2 on . I Think the unraced Payne horse La Belle Clare will not need to be
that good to beat the favourite and I think its one of those long odds on
horses that are vunerable.

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

York 2.40 = I Cant have ROMANTIC LIASON as she will need to be held up to
get the trip . Wunders Dream will be in the same boat and IF Fallon can
judge the pace right on RUSSIAN RHYTHM Then she ought to outstay them . I
wouldnt bet her at odds on though .

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
York 3.15 = If I think the ground is genuinely fast , ( Which isnt
confirmed yet by the times) then VISCIOUS KNIGHT Would be my selection From
Luca Cumani,s. This cant win unless its very fast but its a very decent
tool on fast ground and slips in nicely here after listed class form . I
may oppose a few as well, my first target being the 3 year olds who have a
dreadfull 1 from 58 record in this race.

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
York 3.50 = The Nunthorpe isnt really my kind of race and I cant pretend
ive studied it greatly . All I have done is oppose the front 2 horse
Kyllachy and Malhub on grounds of their high draw which is expexcted to be
a serious disadvantage.

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
York 4.50 McArthurglen Designer Outlet City of York Stakes (Class A)
(Listed Race) (3yo+) Winner £23,741.25, Good , 7f (6f214y)

Betting Forecast: 7/2 Millennium Dragon, 5/1 L'Oiseau D'Argent, 6/1 Border
Subject, Lipstick, Suggestive, 8/1 Bouncing Bowdler, 9/1 Hiddendale, 12/1
Needwood Blade, 14/1 Irony, 16/1 Ho Choi, 20/1 Northern Desert.

I,m keen to oppose the favourite again Millenuim Dragon will get beaten
here for me . I was very tempted by my Stewards Cup Lay Border Subject here
but hes the wrong age group and better on softer ground so I went away from
his chance . The One I liked the best is SUGGESTIVE From Willie Haggis,s
whom they think the world of and 7/1 ia massive about his chance.
SUGGESTIVE is my Best Bet of the day and I,ll be having a decent bet at
about 7/1 . This is why you should bet SUGGESTIVE Today.

Last year as a 2 year old he was unbeaten from 2 starts. He won his maiden
then Hacked up by 5 lengths at Yarmouth in a conditions event. He was put
away over the winter and gelded and Haggis,s stable were making noises that
they had a Group 1 or Group 2 horse for this season in Suggestive.
On his 3 year old debut, there was a Massive Punt on him at Windsor on soft
ground in a listed race in May. This was not "Telephone tipster" money or
pricewise money, the gamble came out of the blue and from the right
sources. This was hammered at Hills and Ladbrokes from 7/1 into 11/4 , and
bearing in mind that it was a Horse "First time out ", on soft ground,
against proven listed class horses rated 106 and 107 , the confidence
behind the horse and its homework was very high . SUGGESTIVE Ran really
well before not staying the extended mile on the soft ground finishing 4th.


He was then rated 102 . That gave him 9st 11lbs, almost topweight , in his
2nd race at Royal Ascot, the Buckingham Place Stakes Handicap . This is
about as stiff a handicap task as it can get, yet the Haggis stable gambled
him from 12/1 to 5/1 Favourite and the Horse ran well in coming 7th of 27 .
Willie Haggis has since said that they rode the horse wrong that day, being
too prominant and using too much speed. If You want an example of what his
task was that day, he was giving Demonstrate 19lbs in weight that day, and
Demonstrate is favourite for todays Bradford and Bingley Handicap .
The lightening fast ground at Royal Ascot would not have helped either .

SUGGESTIVE Then went back in trip to 6f at Haydock. He simply Destroyed his
Field by 3.5 lengths . He gave a horse rated 103 a thrashing and 6lbs in
weight as well . He was hammered again in the market and race readers
commented "SUGGESTIVE faced a real mixed bag but could hardly have
dismissed them in better style and remains a horse with bags of potential
for valuable races over this trip or slightly further "

SUGGESTIVE,s last race was in the Tote International in late July at Ascot.
By this time, the Haggis stable had slipped out of form and were really
struggling for winners, and SUGGESTIVE again had to carry a big weight in a
highly competetive handicap. He ran a superb race in 5th place, far better
than his finishing position , he was almost still in front a furlong out
and was then crowded and hampered before tying up . Some obsevrers thought
that 6f was his trip, but Willie Haggis disagrees. He states " Hes a very
talented horse and Im convinced that 7f is his trip but weve been riding
him wrong, too handy. Well let him find his feet. Doesnt want it firm or
heavy but anything in between is ok."

This 7f here should be ideal, hes certain to appreciate it, he has a decent
draw, and this field, whilst "On paper" is a move up in class is actually a
far easier race than the big handicaps SUGGESTIVE Has been running in under
welter weight burdens. This is a poor listed race with doubts about many of
his rivals, and at about 7/1 SUGGESTIVE is great value to blow this field
apart and carry on his stables excellent spell ( 5 recent winners) and
confirm their thoughts that Suggestive is easily Group Class. Watch him
win this race. Hes the Class Act and races under ideal conditions today.

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
ACCOUNT

Account Bets= -6.00
Best Bet of the Day= + 53.51
Best E/W Double= + 3.11
Negatives =142 Successful from 161(88.19%)
Ante Post Account= £1500