Saturday September 28th
=====================

The Best Bet of The Day


SPLIT STAKE BET


Haydock 2.20 (1) ONLINE INVESTOR


Part Win Part Place . This is a 75-25 Split Stake Bet and will be recorded
as such . IF Your normal stake on a BBOD IS £10 , Then
its advised as £ 7.50 Win and £2.50 Place . This is 12/1 with Ladbrokes
Its 11/1 with Hills, Chandlers, Ukbetting and 10/1 everywhere else. I
Strongly advise you take a morning price .


We have a Dilemma today . Whats New . Dont pretend for one minute that If
everything was easy, and you just had 10/1 winners everyday and No Losers,
no self doubt and no insecurity from your host, that you would not get
sick of things, bored, fed up with winning and leave the service . I Know
you too well . You dont fool me . You love the fact not every bet wins at
10/1 . The trouble is, I DO Have 3 potential 10/1 winners today and I am
not making them all BBOD,s ! I Have gone with ONLINE INVESTOR As the BBOD
as opposed to Wixoe Express ( tough race ) and Baladour (not certain to run
its race) . I Think with ONLINE INVESTOR The split stake bet is very
sensible and the DRV Will explain why . Incidently There is Sunday Racing
and there will be a Message Tommorow But There wont be a message next
Tuesday 1st October as its only Nottingham

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Yesterdays Summary

I,m pretty happy with my form still now . I think If I had adopted a more
agressive approach to September we would have won more and had more BBOD
Winners , and that has to be a criticism , but the labels of bets are not
whats important . Its the ability an consistency of the DRV to win money
and I think the winners are there at the moment and I just want to keep it
tight and Not look back thinking i,ve been too agressive with the Account.
MORRO CASTLE helped yesterday to win a few quid for anyone playing on the
Drv and nobody should have lost if you did play .
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

TODAYS RACING


You simply CAN Belive the Fiasco at Ascot yesterday . The Only way you can
win in this game is to treat the game with respect . You have to worship
and covet the game . Ascot on day 1 of a Million pound 3 day meeting , an
important festival , had overwatered by massive ammounts earlier in the
week causing dangerous patchy ground with Holes in it . This is why I try
not to Bet on Day 1 of any festival as You cant trust any of them to get it
right . Its just a joke that an industry like this waters at all and never
gets it right. It may take a Death of a top superstar jockey for them to
wake up . In the meantine its no good doing your money and moaning like the
rest of them . The clever people and the winners save the money until they
are certain of conditions and certain that the tracks are running as
described. Thank God for Bath on monday , Hard ground , and its "No
watering " policy .
Pricewise say " How do you ruin one of the best meetings of the entire Flat
season in one easy step? Throw bucket-loads of water on and make the ground
patchy, to say the very least. That certainly looked the case at Ascot
yesterday with holes in the track being dolledoff and some odd results. So
I would tread very carefully when thinking about having a punt this
morning. CORRECT . Send the water happy muppets to coventry and get stuck
into my Haydock bet at 10/1 + today .

================================================================

Haydock 1.20 . Pretty Open, no firm opinions, I think i,d personally
suggest IN LUCK Here after his last start and because I love his jockey who
is one of the best about . I have no real compulsion to play in the race
though and better oppurtunitis lie elsewhere

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Haydock 1.50 Betting Forecast: 11/4 Shersha, 9/2 Lady Zonda, Passing
Glance, 11/2 Krugerrand, Petrula, 9/1 Baldour, King Harson, 25/1 Seeking
The Sun.

BALDOUR was the 2nd horse that interested me greatly . I,m told this is
working well again now and If you look at things rationally , He has to be
a decent punt at 9/1 . Ed Dunlops yards have been wrong most of the year
with liver enzyme problems, and you therefore have to ignore this horses
two bad runs in May and June . They were obvioulsy not his form, and now he
can bounce back, being a fresh, and more importantly Healthier horse and at
a price. He won a Folkestone Maiden and then went to Chester and ran 3rd
in a 0-100 Handicap over a trip just sttretching him . He would have been
favourite for this race had this race come shortly after chester , and this
is a big drop in class to a 0-89 and He has proven he can win after an
abscence before . Hes no certainty but at a general 10/1 Hes the
Forgotten animal and I have backed him after positive reports .
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
HAYYDOCK 2.20

Betting Forecast: 7/2 Roses Of Spring, 5/1 Bettys Pride, Strawberry Patch,
6/1 Undeterred, 7/1 Native Title, 10/1 Online Investor, Piccled, 12/1
Talbot Avenue, 14/1 Charlie Parkes, 33/1 Beverley Macca, Lady Pekan.

One of the worst things about Tipping horses Is the Doubt in your mind,
that they dont run exactly as You predict they will . I have absolutely no
doubts with this, I know exactly how this horse will run, Why it will win
if it does, and why it has not won if it doesnt ! Its a relax free bet
because I know what will happen here with my Bet on ONLINE INVESTOR In
this sprint at Haydock.
1) He will miss the break
2) He will be last out and trail the field
3) He will be run off his feet and struggle to keep up with them
4) He will make rapid headway a furlong out
5) He will fly at the death and either a) Outclass the weakest opposition
hes faced this year or b) Fail to catch the leaders and look like he needs
6f

I Cant belive the price of this . YES I,d rather the race was over 6f , but
i,m happy that the Drop in Class , and inferior opposition, and the Stiffer
Haydock track will help . I Have been watching this horse carefully and i,m
certain that this is his chance . They may tell you that 3 year olds have
a BAD record in this race which is a worry . Maybe thats true, they are
only 1 from 40 since 1992 . However thats missleading . Firstly this race
is usually run on soft ground, and the 3 yera olds in recent years have
been averaging out at obout 20/1 and very few have had any chance . Add on
the fact that a 3 year old was beaten in a photo in last years race and the
4th was also a 3 year old beaten less than half a length . This doesnt
worry me.

ONLINE INVESTOR was a class juvenile that came 2nd in the Weatherbys Super
Sprint and ended up the year being rated at 99 . This year he has been
mixing it in listed class and better quality handicaps. He was pretty
inexperienced and his lack of experience in racing in big fields Hurt his
chance especially as he often missed the break . He was 2nd in a listed
race at Haydock , then went on at Newbury and ran under 2 lengths behind
the winner in another listed race before being outclassed in the Jersey
stakes. His last two starts have been very interesting and Video analysis
has born this out . He ran in a York Handicap , which is a 0-97 handicap ,
from a terrible draw in stall 16 of 16 , making rapid headway down the
middle of the course to only be beaten 1.5 lengths on a track that suits
front runners. He was finishing like a train that day . Last time out , in
the Portland, He again missed the break before coming through them on the
bridle without being knocked about once his chance had gone. That race was
a 0-110 £29,000 handicap, He was ONLY Beaten 4 lengths that day, and How is
this for a fact . His 21 Opponents that day, are ALL , Every Single One of
Them, Each, rated Higher than EVERY One of his opponents here today . Today
he meets horses rated 84 and below , and this is a HUGE Drop in class, and
a drop in class that , at 10/1 , i,m betting will OVER COMPENSATE For his
lack of craft at 5 furlongs , especially in a small field he craves.

His 5f form isnt too bad. Hes won his maiden at 5f , all his form is in
0-110, 0-105 and 0-95 races, yet todays favourite has just won a simple
0-68
ALL YEAR My bets have had a strong bias away from weight which doesnt
interest me, thye have been CLASS Animals dropping in class, just like
Morro Castle yesterday , and i,ve finally learnt the lessons of class and
thats been the key to this years betting in the srevice . Now there is 1
flaw, his slow starting at the minimum trip , But at 10/1, and no doubt
bigger on the exchanges, I feel we have a really big chance of a nice price
winner , and you can watch the race and see exactly what I mean about how
he flys at the death . CLASS To overcome MEDIOCRITY under imperfect
conditions is the Motto for this bet , and I suggest you get on today . If
You could watch his last 2 videos, youd see why this was the bet in this
race. I just Know he will finish fast and I think the fact that there is a
chance something will get 1st run on him, the 75%-25% part win/place is
sensible as IF He just fails nd runs on in 2nd and 3rd we will return a
profit, and should he win it wont eat into the big money we will get .


+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
In the Tote Trifecta at Ascot , I have had a treble strong message about
WIXOE EXPRESS at 8/1 , and they are saying it wins . These types of
"marks" cane be geographical because there will be others in different
parts of the country getting similar vibes on different horses in the same
race and in a 24 runner handicap, on a track thats just embarrased itself ,
I cant play , but this was the 3rd Big Priced Option on the day .

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

ACCOUNT

Account Bets= -6.00
Best Bet of the Day= + 68.57
Ante Post Account= £1500
Stats This Season
Number of Bets = 116
Number of Winners= 41
Number of Placed = 9
Number of Losers = 66
Strike Rate = 38.31 %
£1 Level Staks Profit = + £68.57
Average Price Winners = 3.57 /1.