Best Bet Of The Day

No Bets

Todays Card i,m afraid offers me no potential in terms of a strong bet as each race demands you Guess or assume. It is still pretty early days and it wont be long before it setles down but i,ve had to go No Bet again . Full DRV Below but it is not a day where I can see me playing heavily at all . Leicester wont be easy tommorow and it may be a SRV on a meeting where you cant even watch the races as Attheraces have not got the contract .No Bet for me today personally unless its a negative play on the England Game today like Draw and Half time but I have not studied it yet .

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Yesterdays Sumary

My Apologies for the lack of message yesterday . The Horse I had considered as a potential bet was always troubling me and in the end She dissapointed and It was certainly the right thing to do . I Had the winner as the only danger but I was not going to "save " and in the end it was a sensible call . When Rain comes you cant just act as if nothing has happened or you deserve to lose. I Will do my best to make sure delayed or late messages are as rare as possible this year but sometimes they are unavoidable.
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Todays Racing

Ripon Betting Forecast: 5/2 Top Spec, 9/2 Shank On Fourteen, 7/1 Lavish Times, 8/1 Gameset'N'Match, 10/1 Billy Whip Top, Cotosol, Mollys Rainbow, 12/1 Alizar, 16/1 Barras, 25/1 Alpine Special, Mill End Teaser.


Far too little information to have a bet with confidence . I,d have to agree with The Racing Post that the game is taking on the unraced Richard Hannon favourite TOP SPEC as the draw makes it hard and plenty have had experience and are available at Big Prices. He will have to be very smart to concede a bad draw and inexperience . LAVISH TIMES From Alan Berry's ws reported as "needing" the race on his debut and is sure to improve and this Paul Dixon owned colt could well be the one .He was getting the hang of things well at Doncaster and this smaller field will help. SHANK ON FOURTEEN Could easily go off favourite anyway. He was "Touted " last week and well backed before meeting one too good and he is sure to be popular and a very likely winner from a Good Draw . COTOSOL and GAMESET'N'MATCH Come from the Brocklesby and both were fancied. Looking at the video the way they were both eased at the end makes the fact COTOSOL finished ahead of the other irrelevant. I got the impression that GAMESET'N'MATCH went off too fast in the race . My evidence is guesswork but COTOSOL Couldnt go with the early pace and the 4 horses that led after 3 furlongs all soon dropped away and He may have cut a suicide pace. I Think the fact he has a better draw than Cotosol would tempt me into staying with GAMESET'N'MATCH from that private battle but that is little more than a Guess. I Doubt either will win on the Ground though .There is no doubt that SHANK ON FOURTEEN is the strongest in the market at about 100/30 and looks the obvious call .

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Ripon 2.30 Betting Forecast: 11/4 Littleton Amethyst, 3/1 Time Marches On, 9/2 Jezadil, 7/1 Marking Time, 12/1 Dinofelis, 14/1 Invitado, The Bolter, 16/1 Master Gatemaker, 20/1 Tirari, 33/1 Miss Concept, Pot Of Gold, 50/1 Lotus Eater, Phinda Forest, 66/1 Curate, Silver Shoes.

LITTLETON AMETHYST is a really average animal and i cant ever imagine seeing a race bad enough to bet her in . Shes a slow filly and stays 2 miles and its not hard to see something beating her even if this is a dreadfull selling race. She just has no gears .TIME MARCHES ON is another dreadfully slow horse and the Racing Post raising doubts about his stamina looks accurate. He is sprint bred and the record of his sire at middle distances is poor. The fact that both these are the 2 shortest priced runners shows how bad this race is . There are other dubious stayers here and the confirmed middle distance horses are in thin supply . With races like this they are so bad its like trying to handicap snails. I had selected The Bolter as the selection but that is now a Non Runner which leaves me stumped. There has been good money for DINOFELIS from a shrewd yard and that at least won last year which is more than many of these can muster and he is the suggestion.

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Ripon 3.05 Betting Forecast: 7/4 Mubeen, 7/2 Inch Again, 4/1 Salsalino, 5/1 Boston Lodge, 11/2 Go Tech, 14/1 Lucayan Dancer.

Ed Dunlop was discussing MUBEEN recently and said that he entered him in a couple of Classic trials this year mainly on the strength of the horses juvenile form working out but that he was also concerned that MUBEEN is a small horse and wondered if he could be vulnerable this year and not develop and carry his form on and I take statements like that serioulsy .It is one of the worst things you can do betting small horses in 3 year old races . This horse Gets his fast ground . However you have to wonder whats in against him, and word from Dunlop is that the horse works very well and is being lined up for the Italian Guineas. INCH AGAIN is a badly handicapped horse and thats probably why he runs in a Classified race . I dont fancy him on the ground and I think his stable are not firing at the moment much as he does have scope. SALSALINO has decent form especially in the Solario stakes, He should be pretty fit after a prep run in the spring cup at Lingfield and is a danger but his Lingfield run was not encouraging.The Elite Racing Club run BOSTON LODGE and he has fought his way up through the Nursery system but may need the race today. The Easterby stable looks in fine form but GO TECH is not bred to stay this far ,and LUCAYAN DANCER has downgraded stables into a out of form stable . I Would rule out GO TECH and LUCAYAN DANCER with confidence, I also want to Oppose the Tompkins runner INCH AGAIN as his string are not right , and that leaves a straight choice between SALSALINO From a Jumping yard, BOSTON LODGE who is surely overrated and the Big Powerfull Ed Dunlop stable and MUBEEN and everything i,ve seen points to MUBEEN Being the winner, but with the negatives given at the start , and the small field, and short price i,m not playing myself.

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Ripon 3.35 Betting Forecast: 6/1 Consensus, Smart Hostess, 7/1 Pax, 9/1 Connect, 10/1 Prince Of Blues, Sundried Tomato, 12/1 Full Spate, Lincoln Dancer, Onlytime Will Tell, 16/1 Quito, Secret Spoof, 20/1 Strawberry Patch, Tayif, 25/1 Balakiref, Gdansk, Quantica, Smart Predator, 33/1 Baby Barry, Brigadore, Jedeydd.

Impossible Sprint but i,m happy to give it a go . I went back years in the renewal of this race looking for statistics to assist and the strongest I found was that a;most every winner ( and all since 1997) have had a previous race on the sand or on the flat are were Fit having had a recent race . I have therefore ruled out every runner that has not had a recent run . Skimming a few more out led me to take out STAWBERRY PATCH (Distance, Class+ stablerecord in Aprils)and LINCOLN DANCER (Weight ). Out went BALAKIREF (Downgraded stables) JEDEYDD (0 From 13 in Class C) BABY BARRY (Class), TAYIF (Form) ,GDANSK (0 from 20 at trip). I really dont like PAX and He seems very short at 7/1. Its because he won on his 2nd start last yeat, but that was in Class F , and this is a "C "Handicap, its a Career high Mark, he was beaten easily on Video and I wouldnt put it past them doing the same with Clare Roche on board. I Then have to look at the Draw advantage which is apparantly in debate both historically and in todays race . Several sources of Draw analysis only agree on one factor and that is that Middle Draws are not the place to be here . On those OPinions, which you can see the sense of I have to chuck out CONSENSUS who is a Filly and SMART HOSTESS. I Liked CONNECT a lot but have to reject him as his stable are in poor form, he is such a hard horse to win with and He is off a Career high mark. This simply leaves me with 4 horses.The Low Drawn QUITO andSUNDRIED TOMATOES and the high drawn FULL SPATEand PRINCE OF BLUES. I,m not keen on QUITO and FULL SPATE has been beaten in this class far too many times for my liking . The selections are in a Split Stake suggesion, one Drawn High and the other Low to make sure there is at least a chance as either side could dominate and they are both 10/1 chances, SUNDRIED TOMATOES and PRINCE OF BLUES Who both have Classy sand form to their credit and this race has been won by many similar types coming off the sand before .
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Ripon 4.45 Betting Forecast: 5/2 Racing Night, 100/30 Fantastic Love, 9/2 Bint Alhaarth, 11/2 Always Esteemed, 12/1 Ardent Lady, Bond Solitaire, Wood Fern, 14/1 Kings Of Albion, 16/1 Captain Sensible, 33/1 Homeric Trojan, 50/1 Furniture Factors, Kyo Bid, Lampos, Park Hill, 100/1 The Spook.

I Wouldnt be surprised if RACING NIGHT Was not that well fancied here . He was pushed out in the Posts's betting forecast overnight which is always a clue and the stablemate ARDENT LADY was trimmed from 14/1 in the early copy to 12/1. Ed Dunlop also describes RACING NIGHT in far from glowing terms when stating "He is another horse who was too backward to do much with last year. We gelded him over the winter and so far he his moving and training well. It is too early at this stage to determine what level of ability he has". Gelding him is a bad sign . With ARDENT LADY , She is a Filly and Dunlop states " Like the majority of the fillies she is not particularly forward " and thats possibly a sign to Oppose both his horses as they cant all win . There is no shortage of "Potential" horses to latch on to, most are unraced and whilst it is neccesary to guess the likely victor I would be looking away from the Dunlop Pair . There has been good solid money for Barry Hills's BINT ALHAARTH and she is the likley favourite and there has been money for ALWAYS ESTEEMED The unraced Geoff Wragg horse and WOOD FERN From Channons.

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Ripon 5.20 Betting Forecast: 11/8 Grand Halo, 7/1 Dunaskin, 8/1 Bond May Day, French Risk, 10/1 Emerging Star, Rosewings, 16/1 By Hec, Good Loser, Silver Coin, Victory Sign, 20/1 Leonardo De Vinci, Nevada Desert, 25/1 Bulgaria Moon, 33/1 Banningham Blaze, 50/1 Basheera.


GRAND HALO was probably "Not off" on any of his 3 Starts in maidens and was hammered at Lingfield last time. They were over inadequate trips (7f) and he moves up to 10f and with stamina in his pedigree this is sure to suit . Time will dictate whether the handicapper has got it right awarding him "60" , but his last run was garbage and he finished well behind horses rated 34 and 40. That 11/8 looks unnatractive but he could be a banker in this race against such small stables. The very fact he is in The Derby has shaved more off his price and he went from 2/1 to 11/8 in the Racing Posts's 2nd copy . His presence forces a Guess from you . DUNASKIN is still a maiden in his 2nd year but not a bad one and He is bred to be a better 3 year old and his comeback race at Doncaster was eye catching . He was bottom weight in a 0-85 and now drops in Class as one of the Topweights against inferior opposition . He was noted on Video being given a VERY Considerate ride in the last furlong once beaten and he was not sure to have liked the ground that day . He will win handicaps this year and may start with this one . Its a borderline case whether BOND MAY DAY Stays this far . She is a filly though which doesnt inspire, and although she looked to just about stay 10f on sand that was in a far weaker race and on that run I dont fancy her at all .ROSEWINGS is also impossible to judge after the "3 runs " to gain her mark. Her stable worry me , they are not in great form and she makes no appeal without strong market support. LEONARDO DA VINCI is impossible to fancy at 20/1 but on the off chance there is a gamble on him i,d be happy to join in as this is a very well bred horse that was picked up cheap due to a joint problem , and from Kevin Ryans team he is sure to have been messed about with so far and if he has ability the market will tell you . Linda Ramsden trains a decent maiden here called EMERGING MARKET and it pays to respect the fact Rober Sangster owns the horse , Barry Hills trains the favourite and they have a long association together and that This horse drops in Class. . He ran at Doncaster behind DUNASKIN and to be honest he looked well held and looked as if he was badly handicapped off "70" . Again watch the market with him . FRENCH RISK should be outclassed today . He was 66/1 when runner up in a bad race last time but the race was a falsely run race with many hard look story and he looks flattered.
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