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2 Account Bets


Lingfield 2.20 (1) Hypnotic £10 Win

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Lingfield 2.20 (1) Hypnotic
Lingfield 2.50 (1) Cupids Glory

£10 Each Way Double

£30 Stakes on the Day. Hypnotic should be about 2/1 and the better of the 2 bets
we feel and should he win we should be safe and set up for a good day. I want to
play the each way double as well, as the rewards ourweight the risks in my opinion.

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Todays Racing

Terrible week in terms of the weather and the lack of choice available but Its just another
variable to deal deal with in a game that never stays the same. There does not look much chance
of a let up in the weather before the weekend anyway , but its Lingfield and the sand that I am
playing on today.

MUSSELBURGH could be hit by showers later this morning and I did not feel that card was particularly easy.
The only value I could see there was the 4/1 about Takes Tutu who for me should be no more than a 9/4 chance
but he is so frustrating and I have done money on him this year already and there is better options on the sand.

Mark Prescott sends 2 horses to Lingfield that David feels stands out in HYPNOTIC and CUPIDS GLORY
and he thinks both will win today. There is very little to seperate which of these 2 horses is the Best Bet today.
They could quite easily both win, I would be quite surprised if neither of them won and it could be a day where
you go for the wrong one and watch the other one win and I dont want to get trapped in that scenario.

I have tried to push David into telling me the best of the 2 Prescott bets and he thinks HYPNOTIC just shades
it because of his work at home, the fact he is the better price, and has less runners to beat but its a tight call.


Lingfield 2:20 Hays Montrose Novice Stakes (Class D) (2yo) 7f

Betting Forecast: 9/4 Hypnotic, 11/4 Bunny Rabbit, 7/2 Raza Cab, 9/2 Linngari, 8/1 Takhleed, 25/1 Antonio Stradivari, 50/1 Aberdeen,

66/1 Turtle Bay.

HYPNOTIC is the first of Prescotts 2 runners. He would not be as smart as Cupids Glory (2.20) but is a bigger price and may have an easier

task today. HYPNOTIC has just won a 7f Nursery here easily off "Topweight of 88 " by 2.5 lengths and he is improving fast. Before his last

race he had been working with the "Group class" Cupids Glory (2.50) but since then David tells me he has been working very well with Red

Peony who runs in a Group 3 on Sunday, and has a decent chance in that , and Milnes feels that he isnt that far behind that horse and he feels

that HYPNOTIC Would only have to reproduce that home form to win that. He has come on in his work considerably in the last few days

and looks certain to go very close today .He tells me that Stoute's do fancy LINNGARI and that is fancied with ability, but he has a lot more

to prove and HYPNOTIC has proven far more to date. Obvioulsy RAZA CAB is fancied and well backed but that could be mug money

from a syndicate that owns him and at "9/4 jt fav's" I know I would rather be with HYPNOTIC myself.

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Lingfield 2:50 Castlemaine XXXX Nursery (Class E) (2yo) 7f

Betting Forecast: 11/4 Cupid´s Glory, 4/1 Wedding Party, 7/1 Lateral Thinker, 8/1 Nightfall, 12/1 Scrooby Baby, 14/1 Bridge T´The Stars,

Dreemon, Time For You, 16/1 Connotation, Hawridge King, 20/1 Langston Boy, Wise Dennis, 25/1 Lady Ann Summers, 33/1 Clinet,

CUPIDS GLORY was an Account Bet winner 2 weeks ago when winning easily at Lingfield and he then won again easily at Chester last

Saturday. David tells me that This horse is working like a Group Horse at home and taking in this Nursery should not present him with too

many problems. Feel pretty confident that he is easily the best horse in the race. I love the fact that he has an 11lbs gap between his weight

(topweight) and the next highest rated horse (2nd topweight) which does show a class gap between himself and the rest of the field. On a

point of race analysis I think thats the strongest thing in his favour. David looks at things slightly differently. His worry is that Jamie Mackay

rides and as he is a lightweight jockey and the horse has 10st in weight he worrys that he has so much "dead lead" in the saddle rather than

using most of the 10st with a stronger pilot . Very Complex and probably unprovable one way of another but I think he would rather have a

pilot weighing 8st 6lbs carrying less lead than a lightweight carrying almost 3st in weight. One thing that troubles me is the quote of 7/4 on the

exchanges which differs greately from his paper price but when you look at the betting the front 5 in the betting are priced at 7/4 ,100/30 ,

9/1, 12/1 and 25/1 and he has not actually got that much to beat . It is very hard to see him not going very close here and despite the usual

problems here with traffic, pace and scrimmaging he really ought to have far too much class for his rivals and he should win.

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The Staking is the complicated matter. Should both HYPNOTC and CUPIDS GLORY both win there wont be a problem , but at 7/4 and

9/4 it wouldnt be pleasant to bet the one that loses only to watch the other horse win unbacked . The Obvious play could be the each way

double which would pay about 7/1 or 8/1 with cash back if they both get placed which they really should do, but the risks of that are a winner

and a place and not profiting from that. If 1 of the 2 horses wins then we would not have won much anyway on the day so that does sway me

towards the each way double, especially as there only look to be 4 horses running for 3 places in each of the 2 races. I also want the win

single on HYPNOTIC and hopefully that will win and set the 2.50 race up as a chance to nail some decent profit with all riks of losing on the

day removed.

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