Wednesday Evening Message


I am going with No Account bet and No Best Bet of the day today. A Few Yarmouth thoughts in this Mail but I want to have a Blank day and let the analysis stand or fall on its own merits tonight. I think there are some interesting each way bets tonight which you could consider. They are all big prices. They are all entitled to run well and
I hope a couple go in but quite which is the strongest I wouldnt know. I think I have made the mistake again of looking at too much today and not spending enough
time on the specific races that can offer a strong bet. I will try not to make that mistake tomorrow and I will try and come up with something clearer, more specific and not just a collection of watery opinions.

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Tonights Racing


Yarmouth 5.45 - 7/4 Keisha Kayleigh, 5/2 Penmara, 7/2 Matinee Idol, 8/1 Coffin Dodger, 20/1 Deserted Prince, Plough Maite, 25/1 Lady Suffragette, Teddy Monty, 50/1 Rockatorri, 100/1 Sansel, Solomans Prospect.

KEISHA KAYLEIGH is the obvious horse and should win but I think PENMARA 7/1 is the bet each way. PENMARA is 7/1 yet just 5/2 in the Racing Post Betting Forecasts. I can understand she was put in too short at 5/2 but 7/1 insults her. She ran well here last time out. She was only beaten 6 lengths as she met something half decent and she has no problem with trip of ground. I dont see her form as that inferiors to KESIHA KAYLEIGH and if she runs her race she has to be entitled to go close. She has 4lbs to find on official ratings but she is a big price to do that. I cant bet MATINEE IDOL myself. I think she is too inexperienced. You get the odd horse pop up with 3 runs in these claimers but not many do it and I see MATINEE IDOL as the weakest of the 4 main runners. It is 25/1 bar 4 runners and that does suggest an each way bet is preferable. The favourite KEISHA KAYLEIGH has the perfect exposure. She has raced 7 times before and 6 of the 14 winners of this race had 7 or 8 starts and I cant fault her statistically. COFFIN DODGER isnt out of this but she is 0-17 and a bit exposed and she would be a lot better off in a Handicap. I suspect the favourite will nearly win but at these prices I would be on PENMARA each way.

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Yarmouth 6.15 - 15/8 Novista, 3/1 Sweet Lilly, 7/2 Ten Dollars More, 9/2 Hart Of Gold

No stats or strong opinions. I think this is between TEN DOLLARS MORE , HART OF GOLD and SWEET LILLY. I would be inclined to ignore the chances of NOVISTA the 2/1 favourite. Of course she can win but the ground may not be ideal, she has a 54 day break and she is still an inexperienced horse taking on horses that are fit and well raced and whilst she may win I cant see why she should be favourite. I dont think you can split the others. HART OF GOLD and TEN DOLLARS MORE are closely tied in together in Auction form at Wolverhampton and both have come out and ran well in Nurserys since. SWEET LILY gets the sex allowance and cant be ignored. Wouldnt want to split the 3 runners I like but my only negative has to be the favourite.

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Yarmouth 6.45 - 3/1 Foreplay, 9/2 Villarosi, 5/1 Mugeba, 7/1 Whistleupthewind, 8/1 Al Rayanah, 14/1 Charlottebutterfly, Sam´s Secret, Tiber Tilly, 16/1 Prettilini, 25/1 Whisper Inthe Wind, Wodhill Be.

I like WHISTLEUPTHEWIND at 7/1 but James Eustace's stableform does worry me. Eustace has had a 2nd at Brighton this afternoon which is encouraging and I view that as a positive. I made WHISTLEUPTHEWIND my Best Bet of the day 3 runs ago at Lingfield over seven furlongs when she won nicely. Previoulsy I had been watching her on video and she looked an improving horse. She then seemed to stop that improvement and ran into 2 Brick Walls over a Mile. She leads and goes clear but she hasnt seemed to get home over a Mile. If you watch her on video last time she was again setting a very strong pace and had them all in trouble before dying over a Mile. She doesnt seem able to keep that relentless pace up for 8 furlongs. I do worry about the stableform but she is 7/1 and she will lead tonight and this drop in trip Looks just what she needs. One clever option is that You could bet WHISTLEUPTHEWIND at 7/1 and you should certainly be able to lay her back in running at a shorter price. I think she can win this race. My Stats offer no negatives. Just for the record there is a marvellous record of horses that ran just 4 times before in this race as VILLAROSI has done for some strange reason so I would respect him. There are not that many runners in the race you can fancy and I would take a Chance on WHISTLEUPTHEWIND leading from start to finish. She is VERY CLOSE to my best bet of the day and had the stable been having winners I would have been more confident.

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Yarmouth 7.15 - 5/1 Damburger Xpress, Spring Time Girl, 7/1 Whatatodo, Wodhill Gold, 9/1 Kalani Star, 12/1 Sriology, 14/1 Beau Marche, Hows That, 16/1 Angel River, Silver Visage, 20/1 Pragmatica, Shamwari Fire, 25/1 Panshir, Viscount Rossini, 50/1 Frenchgate, Royal Sailor.

I thought this was too hard especially without any stats. I can pass on a Tip from an anonymous source for BEAU MARCHE from George Margussons stable. She ran dreadfully last time but she missed the break and the girl rider couldnt ride him well . Today he has a 4 day absence which cant hury his chance and Seb Sanders looks a far more appealing jockey. He is about 10/1 and there for anyone who wants to follow the "Tip". Too many runners for confidence.

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Yarmouth 7.45 - Banham Poultry Handicap (Class 5) (3yo+,0-75) 6f3y

11/4 No Time, 9/2 Gone´N´Dunnett, 11/2 Vindication, 7/1 Kennington, Regal Dream, 9/1 Kool Acclaim, 12/1 Malinsa Blue, 16/1 Norcroft, 25/1 Titian Saga, 33/1 Black Oval.

I had thought I had uncovered a Great Conspiracy in this race that led to KENNINGTON but after some hard work and diligence by some members on the message board this afternoon we now find that the race may not be as "Conspiratorial" as I had thought. I will leave my text in as I wrote it up this morning and for anyone that wants to look at some other issues behind the race that are posted and explained on the message board they can do.

This is the BANHAM POULTRY Handicap. BANHAM POULTRY are a Norfolk Based Company that Flog Chickens. They started Sponsoring this race in 2004. In this race Christine Dunnett Runs 3 Horses. She runs GONE "N" DUNNETT 9/2 , KENNINGTON 7/1 and NORCROFT 16/1. Now Christine Dunnett is based in Norfolk. In fact she is based very close to BANHAM POULTRY. When BANHAM POULTRY sponsored this race in 2004 the winner was Mr Malarkey at 4/1. He was trained by Christine Dunnett !! . No Great coincidence there . There appeared to be no connection between the trainer and the Sponsors. Last year in 2005 , the second year the race was sponsored by BANHAM POULTRY. In last years race Christine Dunnett tried to win this race with KENNINGTON (finished 3rd) and GONE "N" DUNNETT (finished 6th). Ok she failed in 2005 but KENNINGTON was a 12/1 chance and went very close and GONE "N" DUNNETT was a 20/1 chance so it wasnt as if they had outstanding chances. This year is the 3rd Year that BANHAM POULTRY sponsor this race and Christine Dunnett runs Three horses. My Conspiracy is this. We know she likes to try and win the race and she has won the race before. We know the Sponsors are very local to her. However I have noticed something today that strongly suggests to me that KENNINGTON is the One to be on from this stable and the one to bet in the race. KENNINGTON went very close in last years race when she was owned by the Trainer (Mrs C A Dunnett ). In fact she has owned the horse for quite a while. Just 4 runs when the horse was Placed at Nottingham the Listed Owner was still Mrs C A Dunnett. Now all of a Sudden KENNINGTON runs in the race he nearly won last year and all of a sudden he has a New Mysterious Owner called MICHAEL FOULGER. Thats very significant for me. MICHAEL FOULGER Has never owned the horse before. He has never owned a horse trained by Mrs C A Dunnett . He has owned plenty of other horses with other trainers. So who is this Man ? He is Mr BANHAM POULTRY. The Foulger Family have been in Poultry for 100 years and they Established Banham Poultry Ltd in 1972.So Michael Fouler Sponsors this race . He suddenly appears as the new and first time owner of KENNINGTON who he has probably leased for the day to try and win his sponsorship money back trained by a woman who trains within spitting distance of the Farm and whose won the race before and has 3 runners trying to win it again. You would be quite surprised if one of her other runners won the race and it all looks set up to KENNINGTON at 7/1 in my opinion.

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Yarmouth 8.15- 8/11 Alambic, 7/2 Shore Thing, 7/1 Boxhall, 12/1 Dovedon Hero, 14/1 Arch Folly, Haatmey, 25/1 Magic Amigo, 50/1 Domenico, Meantime.

Looks a great each way race and although ALAMBIC looks the obvious one as an improving 3 year old filly in form she has bumped into a couple of decent handicappers in BOXHALL and SHORE THING who have so far achieved more than she has and who will test her. In a race where half the field are huge prices I would be inclined to have a small bet on BOXHALL Each way. There was good money for this horse last time out and he ran well and he has been supported again today. I also like SHORE THING and it was a toss up with BOXHALL which was the better option each way. BOXHALL just shaded it.

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