Mathematician 99225-06-2011








T o d a y ' s S e l e c t i o n s


3 Bets Today


N e w c a s t l e 2.30

KLYNCH 15/2

Win Bet



N e w c a s t l e 3.40

CAPTAIN RAMIUS 10/1 Each Way

Masked Dance 16/1 Saver Bet



W i n d s o r 5.10

DUQUESA 9/1

Each Way


Decided to go with bigger prices today. Had I suggested
a short priced horse then both Lang Shining (4.55pm)
and Stella Point (7.45pm) look backable and I wouldnt
put anyone off 2 win bets and a double if you fancy it.

It is the bigger priced selections that interest me most
on a overwhelming Saturday. KLYNCH has been flying
recently. This is a harder race. I'd have prefered a draw
closer to the middle but I think he can overcome that
and I do not see any sensible alternative in this race.

Under no illusions that CAPTAIN RAMIUS is running
in a very tough sprint but I like my negatives and I see
him as having a brilliant chance. Masked Dance is also
worth a saver from the same stable. Not many can win
that race despite the numbers and I like his chance.

It may be that DUQUESA is the best bet but you can't
know what your getting with her. She has ran twice in
5 days and last night at Chester. It could be too much.
It could be an advantage as well. Very fit and looks an
interesting runner to me and at the price I have to be
on her. There is a chance she may withdraw later.


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M e s s a g e T h o u g h t s

First thing that strikes you is the ferocity of 6 meetings
when we have clearly too much racing and obviously not
enough time to do it all. Like Many Saturdays it is down
to doing what I can where I can and hoping to have got
the right races with the right angles on a very busy day.



F r i d a y ' s S u m m a r y


A Little bit dissapointed with yesterdays message and of
course with COAX not winning but I can't say I was that
surprised. Instinct told me it was a tough set of cards at
night on rain softened ground. COAX ran a little better
than his finishing position and his jockey did him a bad
turn by moving to the far rail but it didnt cost him that
much ground and he wouldn't have won. I think what is
more relevant was the competetiveness of the race and
several decent 3 year olds closely matched proving this
was a harder race than his odds implied. I sensed that a
bit so probably should have followed my instincts not
to go with him as a bet. We struggled yesterday and in
hindsight its probably not that surprising unfortunately.

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P R O F I L E S & P R E V I E W S



N e w m a r k e t 1.45

3/1 Paladin, 4/1 Rockinante, 7/1 Flying Trader
7/1 Palus San Marco, 8/1 Mister Music, 8/1 Tudor Empire
10/1 Acer Diamonds, 12/1 Elkhart, 16/1 Dollar Bill
25/1 Burano, 25/1 Fiscal, 25/1 Voodoo Rhythm
66/1 Like Clockwork, 100/1 Ocean Tempest, Ooi Long.

* This is a 7f Maiden for 2 year olds
* There are 375 of these races in June and July
* This should be mildly interesting
* Best stable record is Richard Hannon winning this many times
* He runs ROCKINANTE (Drawn 16) MISTER MUSIC (Drawn 1)
* You would think the draw would split these horses
* Only 3 races at 7f in 2001 on the July Course
* These 3 winners were drawn 12 10 12
* That suggests ROCKINANTE has the best chance
* The race interests me because of this and TUDOR EMPIRE
* Male 2 year olds with one career start
* Beaten 10 + lengths last time in that race
* Running within 2 weeks
* TUDOR EMPIRE has that profile
* I looked at all horses with that and found a 1-147 record
* TUDOR EMPIRE fails a 1-147 stat and isnt for me
* 8 days is no time to overcome a heavy defeat
* PALADIN and DOLLAR BILL are both drawn low
* Clearly I have to guess in a race like this
* The negative for Tudor Empire takes him out
* Draw and Stable record points to ROCKINANTE
* FLYING TRADER has Fallon - Good draw - Recent run
* Not convinced he did enough on his debut to win
* I feel the best bet is a split stake here
* FLYING TRADER - Place Bet Evens or better
* ROCKINANTE - Win Bet 7/2 or better


N e w c a s t l e 2.00

11/8 Regal Parade, 7/2 Genki, 4/1 Waffle
15/2 Doncaster Rover, 11/1 Rain Delayed, 16/1 Eton Rifles
16/1 Winker Watson, 33/1 Secret Witness.

The Chipcase Stakes is a 6f Group 3 race and there has been 16 renewals of this race. I would be happy to oppose a horse absent as long as WINKER WATSON. I see ETON RIFLES
as very weak dropping from a Mile something no winner did
when underraced this season. I looked at horses that dropped in distance from 7f like REGAL PARADE. Only one winner managed to come from a 7f race and that was a 3 year old so I see REGAL PARADE as slightly unsafe despite being rated the best horse at the weights. I am taking him on because of that and also DONCASTER ROVER also from a 7f race. Its hard to see SECRET WITNESS winning at these weights and she is the lowest rated horse. RAIN DELAYED looks just a bit short of whats required. I like two horses here.

* WAFFLE comes from the Wokingham
* The 1995 1999 2009 2010 winners did the same
* His second there earns him great respect
* GENKI comes from the Golden Jubilee at Ascot
* The 1998 2003 and 2006 winners did that
* He is 7 and has 3 runs this season
* He is closely matched to 2007 winner Fayr Jag
* GENKI is a Positive

Selection - GENKI 9/2 each way



N e w m a r k e t 2.15

9/2 Queens Revenge, 13/2 Lily´s Angel 13/2 Misty Conquest
8/1 Hawfinch, 10/1 The Clan Macdonald 14/1 Hidden Passion
14/1 Worthington, 16/1 Pearl Diva 25/1 Nayarra
Red Larkspur, 66/1 Weood.

This Listed race for 2yo fillies looks nasty. All 15 winners had 1-2-3 runs. MISTY CONQUEST and LILY´S ANGEL
could well be overexposed for a race like this. No winners
came via an Auction maiden. THE CLAN MACDONALD
does just that and it puts me off him. NAYARRA is still a
maiden after 3 runs suggesting she has limitations. When
you consider HAWFINCH won a bad maiden at 25/1 and
starting that price for John Gosden also suggests she lacks
serious ability. That brings in QUEENS REVENGE into
the mix. I'd like more proof she can handle rain softened
ground. It's a risk I have to take. QUEENS REVENGE e/w.



W i n d s o r 2.25

7/4 Right To Dream, 5/2 Macdonald Mor, 9/2 Classy Strike
11/1 Kathryn Perry, Atlantis Crossing, 16/1 Breaking The Bank 20/1 Lady Jane Grace, 20/1 Pond Life, 20/1 Scouting For Girls 25/1 Distant Voyage, 66/1 Calusa Bay

This is a 2yo maiden over 6f. Having already benefitted
from a run MACDONALD MOR finished just ahead of
RIGHT TO DREAM who was having his debut that day.
Since than RIGHT TO DREAM from a stable that never
have them fit first time out has come out and run second
to a horse who finished 2nd at Royal Ascot in a Coventry
Stakes. I think RIGHT TO DREAM ought to win this race.



N e w c a s t l e 2.30

6/1 Marvellous Value, 13/2 Roker Park, 7/1 Tombi
8/1 Ginger Ted, 8/1 Klynch, 10/1 Singeur, 11/1 Amenable
12/1 Edinburgh Knight, 12/1 Johannes, 12/1 Misplaced Fortune 12/1 My Kingdom, 14/1 Nosedive, 16/1 Barney Mcgrew
16/1 Rash Judgement, 25/1 Arganil, 25/1 Everymanforhimself.

* This is a 6f handicap for 0-95 rated horses
* There has been 81 Class 2 Handicaps in June and July
* This clearly looks too difficult and too many runners
* Especially with some doubt about the draw
* Given the choice I'd avoid the low numbers.
* Other ideas in the race would be as follows
* Ignore horses from 5f races without a run in 2 weeks
* Ignore 4 year olds from 5f races
* Ignore horses from 5f races lightly raced this year
* SINGEUR - JOHANNES - TOMBI all fail this
* I would consider a horse aged 4-5-6 first of all
* In June and July Newcastle have 18 of these races
* Thats 18 Class 2 Class 3 handicaps with 11 + runners
* All 18 winners were aged 4-5-6
* Those that were not had a 0-79 record
* Interesting None of these 18 winners came from 6f either
* I'd also avoid all horses with 1 run this season
* I'd avoid exposed horses from 7f races with 1-2-3 runs this year
* MY KINGDOM fails that
* He also has Group Class form are those that did were 0-44
* Exposed last time out 4yo winners were 0-20
* GINGER TED fails that
* MISPLACED FORTUNE - Mare with 1 run this year
* No mares won with 13 or more runs and she is weak
* ROKER PARK doesnt come out well enough
* No clear angles aside from that and still too hard
* The above are my negatives but no selection.
* KLYNCH has the best profile
* I dont like the draw much I see no other option



W i n d s o r 2.55

5/2 Dux Scholar, 7/2 Nationalism, 4/1 Caymans
4/1 The Rectifier, 8/1 Al Khaleej, 12/1 Balducci
14/1 Boom And Bust.

This is a Listed Class race for a Mile for all aged horses.
No idea in this race. Detest the race and the frame but I
looked at all 25 similar races at this time of year because
I wanted to see how 3 year old seasonal debutants got on
as DUX SCHOLAR has that profile. I found 3 winners in
25 races aged 3 and all had at least 3 runs that season and
that would put me off DUX SCHOLAR with a big absence.

* NATIONALISM - I'd ideally like more runs this year
* Interesting he comes from the Diomed Stakes at Epsom
* 4 horses prepped in that race and ran in this coming W 3 W W
* I dont know if NATIONALISM can beat the rest
* I will predict he beats DUX SCHOLAR the favourite




N e w c a s t l e 3.05

11/2 Overturn, 6/1 Harlestone Times, 13/2 Activate
8/1 Investissement, 10/1 Deauville Flyer, 11/1 High Office
14/1 Simenon, 16/1 English Summer, 16/1 Moyenne Corniche
20/1 La Vecchia Scuola, 25/1 Montaff, 25/1 My Arch
25/1 Mystery Star, 25/1 Prospect Wells, 33/1 Icon Dream
33/1 Nave, Petara Bay, 40/1 Chock A Block, 40/1 Tominator.

* The Northumberland Plate is a handicap over 2 miles
* There has been 16 renewals of this race Since 1995
* There has been 33 similar races at other tracks
* Horses that came from 13f or shorter struggled
* Since 1995 in all similar races they were 3-104
* Those that were unexposed were 0-69
* HARLESTONE TIMES fails that
* CHOCK A BLOCK - ICON DREAM fail that
* ENGLISH SUMMER - HIGH OFFICE fail that
* Those that were aged 4 were 0-38
* HARLESTONE TIMES - ICON DREAM fail that
* ENGLISH SUMMER - NAVE fail that
* TOMINATOR also fails that
* No horse came from 12f absent more than a month
* MOYENNE CORNICHE - NAVE fail that
* No horses won or came 2nd last time over 13f or less
* CRACKENTORP fails that
* Horses with 1 run this season have a 1-45 record
* There were 6 winners elsewhere with 1 run this season
* Horses aged 4 with 1 run this season were 1-22
* All 15 that ran in this race lost
* The only 4yo winner with 1 run had Group race form
* ACTIVATE lacks that level of backclass
* He also dropped from Royal Ascots 2m 4f race
* ACTIVATE comes from a much lower grade of race
* MYSTERY STAR comes out badly with 1 run this year
* Especially exposed and with a 52 day break
* INVESTISSEMENT has 1 run this season
* He is 5 and comes from a 14f race
* No winner of this race had that profile
* At other tracks in similar races that profile was 2-9
* One of those was like him with an absence
* INVESTISSEMENT is respected
* PROSPECT WELLS comes from 14f with 1 run this season
* There are winners like that but none from Listed Class
* PROSPECT WELLS is not a negative but is unsafe
* PETARA BAY makes no appeal with 1 run this year
* The Longest absence in the last 21 years was 53 days
* TUSCAN GOLD fails that and is out
* No race like this went to a horse from 3yo handicaps
* LA VECCHIA SCUOLA comes out badly as a mare
* None won when exposed or when absent a month or more
* MONTAFF comes from a Group Class race
* The only horses doing that were aged 3-4 with under 13 runs
* MONTAFF is 5 and too exposed for that
* MY ARCH has a weak profile aged 9 winning last time
* OVERTURN won this last year with 8st 7lbs
* This year he has 17lbs more weight
* He has more weight than every past winner bar one
* That was a 4yo coming from a Group race
* I think the weight and absence will beat him
* He is game as they come but a mark of 106 is tough
* He comes from a bad trial race and I dont fancy him
* I wont say negative as this horse is such a star
* He is just the sort to defy hard stats but he isnt for me

S h o r t l i s t

* INVESTISSEMENT is respected for reasons given above
* No horse has won this race with his profile though
* SIMENON is 4 and comes from a 14f Listed race
* I looked at 4 year olds from 14f or less with 1-2 runs that year
* I found a 1-27 record
* That winner was Bold Gait (1995) coming from the Yorkshire Cup
* That was a Group 2 and SIMENON comes from a Listed race
* It was at least from the same meeting
* SIMENON is close enough to respect
* DEAUVILLE FLYER was 5th in last years race
* I didnt like him last year and felt he was weak
* I'd respect him this year with a better chance

Selection - DEAUVILLE FLYER




C h e s t e r 3.10


5/2 Musnad, 11/4 Quails Hollow, 4/1 Number Theory
5/1 Aiken, 7/1 Palagonia, 12/1 Mill Mick.

This is a 10f Maiden for all aged horses. Barry Hills has a
decent record in the race but MUSNAD didnt come out as
well as I'd like. I looked at all horses from 8f maidens and 4 or more career starts. What few winners there were ran better than he did last time and I was unimpressed. I think AIKEN has too much to improve. Horses with one career
start in 8f maidens and beaten more than 10 lengths in it
were only 2-56 and those like AIKEN running within the
past month were 0-44. I just prefer QUAILS HOLLOW.


Decided against doing the W i n d s o r 3.30pm a Class 2
sprint. Time beat me. I didnt have confidence in the draw
here either. I ran ADDICTIVE DREAM's profile as I like
many was impressed with his last run. Only 1 horse tried
to win with his profile and that horse won. He did have a
bit less weight though and I can't read Walter Swinburn at
all but I would have to see him as a positive.


N e w c a s t l e 3.40

4/1 Xilerator, 7/1 Webbow, 8/1 Vito Volterra, 10/1 Bawaardi
10/1 Dubai Dynamo, 11/1 Captain Ramius, 12/1 Brae Hill
12/1 Dhaular Dhar, 14/1 Masked Dance, 14/1 Osteopathic Remedy 16/1 Man Of Action, 16/1 Mass Rally, 16/1 Oratory
20/1 Camerooney, 20/1 Imperial Djay, 25/1 Don´t Call Me.

* This is a Class 2 Handicap over 7f
* 58 similar races and again very difficult
* Inconclusive Draw but high numbers are safest
* My angles are Blunted as no fillies in the race
* There are no trip jumpers either
* I would take out the horses absent 7 weeks
* DON'T CALL ME and ORATORY fail that
* Take out 9 year olds who havent won any race yet
* DHAULAR DHAR - WEBBOW are out
* MAN OF ACTION comes out badly as well
* OSTEOPATHIC REMEDY wrong down in trip
* CAMEROONEY didnt do enough last time
* IMPERIAL DJAY didnt do enough last time
* XILERATOR did not do much for me either
* 4 year olds winning 7f handicaps like him were 2-32
* None were like him and his draw worries me too
* I looked at all handicaps here since 2005 with 11 + runners
* There were 41 handicaps and Horses drawn 1 were 0-41
* DUBAI DYNAMO has the worst draw
* The ground isnt right for him
* Statistically he wants a more recent run
* DUBAI DYNAMO is an unlikely winner for me
* MASS RALLY is 4 and comes from a 7f handicap
* Horses doing that with 1-2 runs that year are 0-43
* MASS RALLY fails that and looks underraced
* BRAE HILL is an exposed 5yo from an 8f handicap
* I found a 1-27 record with similar horses
* That winner had Group class form and he doesnt
* That winner won last time out and he was thrashed
* He isnt thrown in and all his wins are on fast
* Paul Hanagan has also chosen to ride Bawaardi
* That said he has plenty in his favour and is respected

S h o r t l i s t


* BAWAARDI is an exposed 5yo from an 7f handicap
* He lacks a run within 2 weeks
* There are winners like that. He is shortlistable.
* These winners did have a bit less weight
* He is on a career high mark as well
* MASKED DANCE is an exposed 4yo
* He comes from a 7f handicap in the past 2 weeks
* Similar horses had a decent 2-9 record
* Both had backclass in Class 2 and Listed Grade
* MASKED DANCE lacks that and has just Class 3 form
* With good recent soft ground form thats forgivable
* VITO VOLTERRA is an exposed 4yo from 8f
* Several 4 year olds came from 8f races
* None ran within a week like him
* None were exposed like him
* The only horse that won at 8f had only 7 runs
* That aside he is in the form of his life
* He is the fittest horse in the race and must go close
* CAPTAIN RAMIUS is 5 and comes from a 7f race
* He has Listed form a recent race and 1-6 runs this year
* Similar horses had a 3-12 record
* Entitled to need his last run he looks a big runner

S e l e c t i o n

* CAPTAIN RAMIUS 12/1 Win Bet
* MASKED DANCE 16/1 Saver Bet



C h e s t e r 3.45

7/2 Chilled, 4/1 Power Punch, 5/1 Chosen Character
11/2 Bertiewhittle, 13/2 Kingscroft, 7/1 Fred Willetts
10/1 Major Conquest, 14/1 Catalyze, 20/1 Waking Warrior.

This is a Class 2 Handicap for 3 year olds over 7f. I looked at horses like CHILLED from 8f maidens. I only found one winner and that horse had much more experience and didnt win last time. I think he is vulnerable. FRED WILLETTS won at a mile last time and I see him as too exposed to do it again. CHOSEN CHARACTER also won a handicap over a Mile last time and I couldnt match her to winners. I didnt like CATALYZE or WAKING WARRIOR. Horses coming from conditions races like BERTIEWHITTLE are hard to
match and I couldnt do that with him so 2 shortlisted.

KINGSCROFT - Positive profile but a little exposed
POWER PUNCH - I felt he had a good profile

Selection

POWER PUNCH Win Bet
KINGSCROFT Place Bet



W i n d s o r 4.00

* This is a Class 2 Handicap between 11f and 12f
* 77 similar races. Out of my comfort zone here.
* SEA OF GALILEE - Negative as filly with 1 run this year
* LIFE AND SOUL - One to avoid hammered 7 days ago


C h e s t e r 4.20

4/1 Oldjoesaid, 6/1 Duchess Dora, 6/1 Lost In Paris
6/1 Tillys Tale, 6/1 Whozthecat, 8/1 Lucky Numbers
10/1 Baby Strange, 10/1 Foxy Music, 14/1 Cruise Tothelimit
16/1 Star Rover, 16/1 The Nifty Fox.

* This is a 5f Handicap for horses rated 0-89
* THE NIFTY FOX has the worst draw and its too high
* Especially on a career high mark
* Chester handicaps over 5f show fitness matters
* There are 24 of these handicaps at this time of year
* All 24 winners ran within the past Month
* 22 of the 24 winners had at least 4 runs that season
* LUCKY NUMBERS doesnt match that profile
* FOXY MUSIC doesnt match that profile
* TILLYS TALE didnt run well enough last time
* No 3yo has won a Chester handicap at this time of year
* CRUISE TOTHELIMIT doesnt appeal aged 3
* BABY STRANGE - Too much to do on his profile
* STAR ROVER is just about fine statistically
* A Little too much weight for a 4yo like him
* Not impressed with his draw in stall 10 either

S h o r t l i s t

DUCHESS DORA - Just enough to shortlist but ground worries
OLDJOESAID - Acceptable profile
LOST IN PARIS - Good profile but career high mark
WHOZTHECAT - Good profile

Selection - WHOZTHECAT


N e w m a r k e t 4.30

* This is a Class 2 Handicap over 10f
* BURJ NAHAR - I Can't match him with 1 career start
* NAQSHABBAN - Unsafe statistically and not for me
* ZAIN SHAMARDAL - UDABAA come out better


W i n d s o r 4.35

6/1 Questionnaire, 8/1 C´mon You Irons, 8/1 Gracie´s Games
8/1 Hereford Boy, 10/1 Towy Boy, 11/1 Desert Icon
11/1 The Scorching Wind, 12/1 Play The Blues
12/1 Primo De Vida, 12/1 Tourist, 12/1 Tubby Isaacs
16/1 Adventure Story, 16/1 Danzoe, 16/1 Memphis Man
20/1 Putin, 20/1 Replicator.

* This is a 0-70 handicap over 6f
* There are 566 similar races in June and July
* QUESTIONNAIRE looks a weak favourite to me
* I looked at 3 year old fillies in these races
* Those with 1 run that season were 0-42
* I looked at 3yo fillies coming from 6f or shorter
* Those with 1-2 runs that season were 0-65
* C´MON YOU IRONS also wants avoiding
* I looked at exposed Male horses aged 6 or more
* Those with just 1-2 runs that year from 6f or less
* I found a miserable 3-233 record
* Both these look negatives
* HEREFORD BOY has a much better profile than both
* I would also keep TOURIST on my side as well
* Far too difficult to contemplate a selection though
* I will stay with my negatives


C h e s t e r 4.55

7/4 Georgebernardshaw, 2/1 Granny Mcphee
5/2 Lang Shining, 10/1 Bright Applause, 14/1 Dream Of Fortune 66/1 Grethel.

This is a 10f Claiming race. There are 100 similar races
at this time of year. GRANNY MCPHEE may be higher
rated than everything else but as an exposed mare losing
by 39 lengths last time out over 12f she has a miserable
profile. No filly came close to winning with her profile.
BRIGHT APPLAUSE makes no appeal aged 3 first time
out. GRETHEL is outclassed. DREAM OF FORTUNE is
inferior to a few of these and doesnt have a profile like
any winners. I see GEORGEBERNARDSHAW a possible
but statistically LANG SHINING comes out better and a
100% record here swings me towards LANG SHINING.

Selection - LANG SHINING


N e w m a r k e t 5.05

11/4 Watneya, 7/2 Wallis, 11/2 Dark Promise
11/2 Heavenly Dawn, 8/1 Bahati, 10/1 Maid In Heaven
16/1 Emma´s Gift, 16/1 Imaginary World, 16/1 Rare Symphony
20/1 Cheers For Thea.

* This is a Fillies Handicap over a Mile
* June and July have 67 similar races
* WATNEYA is 3 and comes from a 3yo handicap over 8f
* There were 8 winners with that profile
* Those however with 1-2 runs that season were 0-23
* Those with under 4 career starts were 0-6
* WATNEYA would clearly be better with another run
* She has a questionable profile and I oppose her
* EMMA´S GIFT doesnt offer me enough aged 3
* HEAVENLY DAWN is a 4yo seasonal debutant
* Similar horses were 1-10 but that winner was different
* That winner won a maiden after 2 runs
* HEAVENLY DAWN comes from handicaps and looks unsafe
* DARK PROMISE is another 4yo debutant
* She is not like the only similar winner either
* RARE SYMPHONY looks badly treated to me
* CHEERS FOR THEA was beaten too far last time
* BAHATI - I cant match her to a winner

S h o r t l i s t

* I wanted to go with Imaginary World but non runner
* WALLIS is 4 and won on her only run this year
* 4 year olds doing that in 8f races were 1-1
* That winner was far lighter raced and different
* WALLIS is not like any horse that tried to win
* I would be Neutral about WALLIS
* Lots to like but I dont like that one run this year
* MAID IN HEAVEN - Not out of it but problems
* Not keen on her absence or her weight


W i n d s o r 5.10

4/1 Shamardal Phantom, 9/2 Epernay, Madonna Dell´orto
6/1 Miss Bootylishes, 6/1 Very Well Red, 8/1 Duquesa
10/1 Leelu, 12/1 Hippique, Cat Hunter, 20/1 Arctic Maiden.

This is a fillies handicap. Not enough time or evidence
to get this preview up to scratch so just a few brief ideas. MADONNA DELL´ORTO did not come out well for a
seasonal debutant and she isnt for me. EPERNAY isn't
a negative but she is lightly raced this year and I would
be "optimistic" I could get her beaten. No idea if she is
going to run but DUQUESA did appeal after running a
good race last night at Chester. No objections to a 3yo
like her and if she runs I predict she will beat the above
two horses. Whether Its good enough or not I dont know.




N e w c a s t l e 5.20

11/4 My Freedom, 7/2 Agiaal, 11/2 Honest Deal
11/2 Nicola´s Dream, 15/2 Delaney´s Dream
8/1 Youhavecontrol, 17/2 Weapon Of Choice
16/1 Yojimbo, 25/1 Unex Goya.

This is a difficult 3yo handicap over a Mile. There is quite a hideous record of seasonal debutants in these races. They are just 2-166 and those from Nurseries were 0-66 and that puts me off MY FREEDOM who is lighter raced than any similar winners. I couldnt match DELANEY´S DREAM as a horse absent some time either. UNEX GOYA needs too
much improvement. YOUHAVECONTROL doesnt come out well either. YOJIMBO is out. These are my negatives.

WEAPON OF CHOICE - Comes out well
NICOLA´S DREAM - Positive
HONEST DEAL - Positive and good stable record in race
AGIAAL - 2 similar winners both had absences and highweights

Selection - NICOLA´S DREAM e/w


Doncaster 7.45

STELLA POINT has a much better profile than Moonsail.

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