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O p t i o n a l A c c o u n t

Seven meetings today for a Thursday and because
of that and yesterdays results I am not going on the
attack today. I want to keep it tight and controlled.

Three heavy days coming. There will be a Sunday
message this week. I wanted to back off today. It's
not the best of messages. I'm feel tempted towards
the type of bet I don't really want to have. Lots of
short priced horses that look good and look better
in an each way double. I think it is a day to resist.

Little underwhelmed today as it hasn't come out
as I wanted so I am drawing stumps and will wait
for tomorrow with big tracks and lots of choice.



W e d n e s d a y s S u m m a r y

It didn't go as planned yesterday. I liked the message
but results didn't support that view. We had a loser in
NOBLE ASSET. I wasn't too disappointed with his 2nd.
He was in a gunfight with the topweight and the class
horses dominated. I am happy we ran our race and it
was a case of us bumping into one better on the day.
Yesterdays race was the fastest time at Catterick this
season. In the last 2 years Catterick has 40 races over
5f and yesterdays time was the 2nd fastest of those 40
so I think it was a good quality race and we were 2nd
best on the day. The rest of the message was dressed
up like a prize Turkey. Perhaps it was trying to be too
clever. We didn't have much luck early doors but still
very disappointing to get to the 6th preview before we
had a winner in Rogue Dancer. That win was in a far
better race than last time out and I think that was one
that got away last time when beaten by an Irish horse.
Overall it just didn't deliver as I had hoped but I feel
the account bet ran his race but met a faster improver.


P R O F I L E S & P R E V I E W S


K i l l a r n e y 2.00

I was going to go with EBADANI in this maiden
but the favourite has frustratingly pulled out so
we are left with a less attractive price about him.


L e i c e s t e r 2.55

11/8 Chess Valley, 7/4 Bishan Bedi, 5/1 Vodka Time
8/1 El Duque, 25/1 Good To Remember.

* This is a 3yo seller over 7f
* Some of these have too much to prove
* GOOD TO REMEMBER lacks the experience
* VODKA TIME may well lack the fitness
* He's ran just once since March and not for 9 weeks
* EL DUQUE doesn't have the numbers to win
* BISHAN BEDI looks second best to Chess Valley
* CHESS VALLEY looks the classier option
* She would probably win this on most of her career runs
* CHESS VALLEY should win this

Selection

CHESS VALLEY 10/11

Win Bet



B r i g h t o n 3.05

2/1 Iseemist, 4/1 Noverre To Go
6/1 Ginzan, 6/1 Putin, 7/1 Storm Lightning
16/1 Lionheart.

This s a 6f handicap for 0-85 rated horses. If I was
betting to a £10 stake this is how I'd stake the bet.

£3 Saver ISEEMIST 7/4
£7 Win NOVERRE TO GO 11/4

I would want to save on ISEEMIST. Initial concerns
about a 3yo filly giving weight to older horses but
she won me over a bit. Having just 7 runners does
make this less attractive. I want NOVERRE TO GO
as the main bet. Much depends on how you want
to look at the race and what you give importance
to. I took the view that on Rating Post Ratings the
field have produced at Brighton over 6f then clear
top rated is NOVERRE TO GO. He has the dominant
course and distance form and I like that. It worries
me that PUTIN is 0-10 racing at Brighton and none
of these numbers will be able to win this and I feel
I can beat GINZAN as an older 6yo mare going up
in trip. NOVERRE TO GO is 8 and comes from a 5f
race. That worries me but I am ignoring this as we
had the 2007 winner of this race do the same and
he does have the best numbers over Brighton's 6f.

My staking's been spoilt slightly with a non runner
as Secret Millionaire did help to boost the prices.


Selection

£3 Saver ISEEMIST 7/4
£7 Win NOVERRE TO GO 11/4





K i l l a r n e y 3.40

7/2 Shield, 4/1 Wood Breizh, 11/2 Polished Rock
6/1 Mumbo Bay, 13/2 Empresario, 8/1 Equity Swap
12/1 Brian´s Express, 14/1 Supreme Doc, 14/1 The Visitor.

This is a 2m 1f Novice Hurdle and much as he is
quirky SHEILD is consistently placed or winning
and as the Racing Post says he has the numbers.
I would be disappointed if 3 horses beat him here.

Selection

SHEILD 3/1 +

Each Way





Each Way Double Options


Killarney 3.40 - SHEILD 3/1

Hamilton 3.45 - DOLCE N KARAMA 6/4

Leopardstown 5.50 - INITIAL 5/4

Leopardstown 7.25 - OOR JOCK 3/1

All 4 can win their races and should be
placed. If you are that way inclined then
this may be a type of bet you'd consider.

I would have selected all 4 in previews.





L e i c e s t e r 3.55

13/8 Perfect Persuasion, 7/2 Laftah
5/1 Joie De Reve, 13/2 Redinha, 8/1 Relation Alexander
12/1 Threetimesalady, 16/1 Valen.

This is a fillies handicap over 7f. Entitled to be the
favourite on form PERFECT PERSUASION clearly
has a strong chance but 8/11 seems very short for
a handicap especially when you consider she has
just 1 race this season. My biggest problem is her
sire Myboycharlie who himself was a mudlark and
never lost on softer ground and never won on any
ground faster than soft. Yesterdays message stated
that horses who had Myboycharlie as a sire were
0-49 when they raced on faster ground. Yesterday
Irondale Express was beaten at 8/13 and there is
little doubt the ground was to blame and that loss
now makes it 0-50 for this sires fast ground horses.
Because of this and the price I am going to avoid
PERFECT PERSUASION. She's entitled to win but
I would avoid her and there are two options. One
is a direct Lay as it would mean you have every
other horse on your side at odds against. I'd give
LAFTAH a chance around 11/2. Although She is
coming from a maiden which is not ideal in this
sort of race at the prices I liked here as the value
bet. Only 7 runners does reduce the options here.

Selection

PERFECT PERSUASION is a Lay at 8/11 on the ground




B r i g h t o n 4.05

7/2 Copper To Gold, 9/2 Royal Caper, 11/2 Dancing Sal
6/1 Big City Boy, 13/2 Jazz Bay, 8/1 Dark Phantom
9/1 Mill I Am, 12/1 High On The Hog, 20/1 Anginola
25/1 Buxton, 25/1 Lady Rain.

This is a low grade 7f race. Scrappy race but I can
not find a 4yo like ROYAL CAPER going up in trip
when so lightly raced this year. He may win it but
my angles encourage me to oppose him. I'd also
be put off being sold recently for just £800. The big
priced outsiders are all flawed for obvious reasons.
I wasn't convinced by DARK PHANTOM's profile as
a very lightly raced 3yo. COPPER TO GOLD is very
unorthodox as a lightly raced 5yo mare. Her profile
is a long way from safe going up in distance with
just three runs this year. In the last 3 years Brighton
have had 73 handicaps over 7f and none of the 73
races went to a horse drawn 11 or higher and that
is another problem for COPPER TO GOLD. I think
MILL I AM is unsafe. After all she's a filly going up
in distance and has just 1 run in the last 106 days.
HIGH ON THE HOG doesn't have much to offer and
is running below the level needed. JAZZ BAY does
not offer as much as I want. Just doesn't convince.

* BIG CITY BOY - Hard to fancy on any previous run
* He may be worth keeping on side though
* He has been running over too long a distance
* 3 of his last 4 runs were over trips he isn't bred to stay
* Last time he dropped to this trip and did a career best
* He should be very well treated but he is modest

* DANCING SAL is a 3yo filly with a 0-21 career record
* She does have 2yo form that would just about win
* The one huge factor in her favour is a stable upgrade
* She has recently been trained by a high class stable
* They surely must be able to improve her from her old yard

Selection

DANCING SAL 5/1

Each Way




L e i c e s t e r 4.25

2/1 Mustadaam, 11/4 Crowded
100/30 Conquerant, 5/1 Haydn´s Lass
7/1 Moontown, 25/1 Bowb

This is a maiden just short of 10f. I don't like horses that
were well beaten over 12f last time. CONQUERANT has
this profile and it's not enough for me. MUSTADAAM is
the clear choice. If this horse was trained by any other
stable I would consider betting it but I detest the stable
and go out of my way not to bet them. That said he is
the only feasible selection. I think MUSTADAAM wins.



L e o p a r d s t o w n 9.00

13/8 Pale Mimosa, 7/2 Certerach, 7/2 Eye Of The Storm
13/2 Wexford Town, 8/1 Mutual Regard, 14/1 Manalapan
14/1 Morga.

This is a 14f Listed race. PALE MIMOSA missed her last
engagement in the Curragh Cup. That leaves her as an
older mare with just 1 run this year and a 60 day break.
She was scheduled to start 2/1 favourite at the Curragh
but in her absence CERTERACH finished 2nd that day a
creditable effort considering he had a 91 day absence.
The 2013 2010 2009 2008 winners of this all came from
the same race. I would just shade this to CERTERACH.


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