0 Account Bet
0 Selection
1 Profiles/Preview bets
7 Races Discussed



The weather's made a mug of me. I played
the percentages today spending yesterday
previewing all 7 Southwell races feeling it
was more likely to survive the inspections.
Frustratingly they have abandoned the card
and taken several hours of my work with it.

That has decimated the message sadly as
all my eggs were in one basket. Therefore
today is only a cobbled together message
that involves 7 Mini Previews which didn't
even get started until earlier this morning.

I felt I had limited choice with inspections
at every meeting. If the Jumps had failed
I couldn't risk a Southwell card without a
message so whether it was stupid or just
unlucky it has damaged the message.



Profiles and Previews Selections

Too annoyed to risk going with a bet without
any real preparation today so I am keeping it
Bet free with the two accounts. Surprisingly
I did find a race that really interested me and
decided to make that selection my best bet
The rest is there to be Cherry Picked given
the weather has conspired against us today.


Limerick 2.50

MARTELLO TOWER 7/4

Win Bet







S u n d a y 's R e v i e w

I backed off from a selection yesterday and I did
that because I didn't feel I had anything inspired.
It was quite predictable after a heavy Boxing day
and Welsh National message that I was unlikely
to peak three days in a row. In the end I can spin
a score draw. The Vercingetorix and Jetson bets
both won and between them paid for the 2 losing
bets and with the last bet placing we came out of
it roughly level in a workmanlike score draw.




P r o f i l e s and P r e v i e w s



Leopardstown 12.55

I wouldn't use normal trends here in this maiden
hurdle as Windsor Park has unusually taken in a
Flat race and Royal Caviar comes from a bumper
but has Graded bumper form before that which is
unusual. Therefore it is not safe to preview. I feel
the percentage bet's ROYAL CAVIAR each way 3/1.



N e w b u r y 1.05

5/1 Phone Home, 5/1 Rhapando, 5/1 Speedy Tunes
6/1 Ballyheigue Bay, 6/1 Desert Joe, 10/1 Azure Fly
10/1 Panama Petrus, 12/1 Steel City, 14/1 Gunna Be A Devil
14/1 Tothemoonandback, 16/1 Representingceltic
25/1 Dancing Dik.

2m 6f Novice Handicap Chase
Past winners had 1 3 1 1 3 5 7 2 7 1 2 1 runs
I'm failing PHONE HOME as too exposed
SPEEDY TUNES - Failed my angles first time out
REPRESENTINGCELTIC also fails them
Not keen on those with 1 run this year
PANAMA PETRUS - STEEL CITY fail this
GUNNA BE A DEVIL also fails it

RHAPANDO - Best profile but dislike the stable
AZURE FLY - Reasonable chance
BALLYHEIGUE BAY - Saver Material
DESERT JOE - One of 4 possible bets
Guesswork needed here

DESERT JOE each way is my guess






Leopardstown 1.25

Stomach churning as many will find it I wouldn't
have a problem using JEZKI at 6/4 in an each way
double. The race looks a match.





Leopardstown 2.35

9/4 Carrigmoorna Rock, 3/1 Analifet
9/2 Princess Leya, 7/1 Fairytale Theatre
9/1 Keppols Queen, 12/1 Mrs Mac Veale
12/1 Theatre Bird, 20/1 Mireya
25/1 Annamatopoeia.

Mares Graded Hurdle
Not a good race for 4 year olds
I'd avoid ANALIFET aged 4 with 1 run this year
FAIRYTALE THEATRE - Not for me with 1 run this year
One option is the split stake
CARRIGMOORNA ROCK to win 5/2
PRINCESS LEYA to place 4/5
The other is PRINCESS LEYA 4/1 Each Way
I will go with PRINCESS LEYA e/w



N e w b u r y 2.45

Marginal preference for ROYAL REGATTA




L i m e r i c k 2.50

8/11 Outlander, 9/4 Martello Tower, 4/1 Measureofmydreams.

3m Graded Hurdle
I think MARTELLO TOWER comes out best
OUTLANDER goes from 2m to 3m
Only has 1 run this season as well

MEASUREOFMYDREAMS goes from 2m 2f to 3m
He also has 1 run this year

OUTLANDER IS Sired by Stowaway
I looked at this horses runners over 2m 7f and more
Those that ran in Class 2 or higher were 0-19
Will he get home on the ground in this Class

MARTELLO TOWER seems the best bet
Obviously I'd rather not have had a fall last time
I feel his 2 rivals have more to prove

Selection

MARTELLO TOWER 7/4

Win Bet





Leopardstown 3.05

11/4 Don Poli, 3/1 Mala Beach, 5/1 Lots Of Memories
5/1 The Tullow Tank, 6/1 Shanahan´s Turn
9/1 Apache Stronghold, 12/1 Very Wood.

Grade 1 Novice Chase over 3 miles
Not a good race for 5 year olds
Worries me DON POLI is a 5yo up in trip
VERY WOOD has the same problem
LOTS OF MEMORIES is unsafe from 2m 1f
SHANAHAN´S TURN is respected
My Breeding stats say don't be so sure he will stay
The Sires 3m runners in Pattern races on soft are 0-14

Shortlist
MALA BEACH
APACHE STRONGHOLD
THE TULLOW TANK

Selection

THE TULLOW TANK 7/1 Win
APACHE STRONGHOLD 8/1 Saver


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