0 Bet today
0 Negative
1 Previews

A quiet and early message today with little to say.

We have woken up to political uncertainty with the
financial markets crashing. Our own personal little
financial market we call the Account has been very
stable now for years so I can assure you that won't
be suffering a crash anytime soon especially after
last nights Hamilton winner improved our position.

As a Friday message this is a poor one. It's rather
pathetic that I could not find more today but that's
sometimes how it goes. Not being trigger happy it
just looks a day to back off and short Fridays help
Saturday messages so lets hope that helps us then.




T o d a y s M e s s a g e



Only one Preview

This is my only bet today

Doncaster 4.20

ENTSAR 100/30

Each Way

Not on the account

One of those days where my work has
been sluggish and I haven't convinced
myself about much. An early message
will give me more time to plan Saturday.




Daily Negatives

0 Negative Today

Results of Negatives
25 correct bets from 34



T h u r s d a y s R e v i e w

Yesterdays bet worked out very nicely with our
two horses finishing 1st and 2nd and pleasingly
this time in the right order as HIDDEN REBEL
won easily beating the saver. We have had lots
of placed bets recently neither winning or losing
so we were overdue a winner and thankfully the
wait ended last night. We got that race right so
maybe now we can go on a good run. The profit
at 7/1 was a 5/1 winner. Those getting 13/2 still
got 9/2 once the saver was taken into account.
I was disappointed with Pleasure Dome's race
on a day I didn't fancy much at all which makes
getting an account winner all the more pleasing.




P r o f i l e s & P r e v i e w s



D o n c a s t e r 4.20

2/1 Ruscombe, 11/4 Entsar, 4/1 To Eternity
7/1 Novalina, 10/1 Gala, 10/1 Notion Of Beauty
25/1 Always Summer, 33/1 Tanera Mor
50/1 Princess Raihana, 66/1 Social Media.

This is a 10f Maiden

RUSCOMBE is a beautiful prospect
Top Class connections
No surprise she is odds on

I mentioned a statistic yesterday
RUSCOMBE fails a Variation of it

9f and 10f maidens
Run between January and July
Horses who ran over 12f last time
And who have raced just once before
You find a 0-64 record in these 7 months

RUSCOMBE has this problem
One run over 12f and down to 10f
Now the Above statistic does not apply to her
As this is a "Fillies" Maiden
There are far fewer of these races

However look at Fillies maidens over 9f and 10f
Since 1997 at any time of year
Horses with 1 run down from 12f races were 0-26
Not so many tried but none have won
Now there were a couple that did it in Ireland
Calibrate and Emerita did overcome this there
But None so far have done this in England
I don't see RUSCOMBE as a negative at all
But she does have to overcome this statistic
She is far too short a price to risk
And when there is a viable alternative
I think we should go down the each way route

ENTSAR

She must have a decent each way chance here
ENTSAR finished 4th at Newbury on debut
That was a good opening run
This is a filly that cost over 260k
She should go close to winning this

The 4th and 5th favourites are unraced
NOVALINA is her stables second string
GALA is also her stables second string

TO ETERNITY the third favourite is unraced
Great stable she could be a legitimate threat
But ENTSAR has the benefit of a previous race
She just looks a stronger option when you consider this

Doncaster has 10 renewals of this race
The 10 winners had the following career starts
1 2 4 2 1 3 1 2 1
Unraced horses have a 0-20 record in this race
It is clear that having a run is an advantage
Which supports the case for this selection

ENTSAR 7/2

Each Way


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