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Today's Message


2 Race message

Wolverhampton 1.20

Southwell 4.15

Was going to have a day off today
This is the 20th message in a row
Had no intention until this morning
To do any message yet here this is


Wolverhampton 1.20

TREATY OF DINGLE 9/2-5/1

Each Way


Southwell 4.15

CLIPSHAM TIGER 11/10

Win Bet


CLIPSHAM TIGER rather obviously
Has the strongest chance of the pair
But too short to worry about staking

TREATY OF DINGLE

I like this race
But it has been damaged
By a couple of non runners

Don't think the favourite stays
I could have staked it two ways
Either each way or as a win bet
Throwing in a couple of savers


Going to bet both horses

CLIPSHAM TIGER winning
Will mean we can not lose
That has to be the priority


Tomorrow

Not decided about a message
Will have to drop a day very soon
Will decided when that will be




Sunday's Summary

Had a losing account bet yesterday
Hindsight suggests it was a mistake
TEA FOR TWO started the race badly
Well adrift never offering confidence
Then came into the race promisingly
Before dropping away and not placing
Don't agree with some he wasn't off
I feel my case for him was interesting
The big mistake that I think was made
There was little proof of form/fitness
I let his handicap mark blind me to it
Other than that we had our moments
Seven previews went W P L L W W P
Duc De Beaucheme won as a saver
My statistics would be furious at me
They basically said he was the winner
I messed the race up and spoilt things
Didn't like the price or trust the stable
Feel I turned a winner into a place bet
Defi Du Seil won which was important
As he was the other horse mentioned
The two Non Cheltenham bets did win
That was pleasing and happy with that
Gumball safely placed in the last race
Without a bet the message profitable
With a losing bet it was disappointing


PROFILES & PREVIEWS



Wolverhampton 1.20

4/1 Schumli, 9/2 Treaty Of Dingle, 5/1 Berkshire Philly
6/1 Lafontaine, 6/1 Dazzling Darren 12/1 No Can Do
12/1 River Of Kings 25/1 Jazz Style33/1 Speed Dating.

8f Nursery

Lots to like and dislike
About playing in this Nursery

One or two look beatable
Stamina being a question mark

SCHLUMI is sired by Swiss Spirit
She won a 7f race last time out
She will do well to stay a mile here
No 2yo from her sire has won at 8f

VILLA PALOMA hasn't done enough
Lightly raced filly may need more time
SPEED DATING made little appeal
JAZZ STYLE's numbers are too low

NO CAN DO has 84 days off
Just 3 runs and topweight as well
Might win but profile says unlikely to

BERKSHIRE PHILLY has 3 runs
Don't like her profile or last run
She looked small may lack scope
The market doesn't like her either
From a stable that could sicken you
Happy to oppose on the evidence


Possibles

RIVER OF KINGS
DAZZLING DARREN
LAFONTAINE
TREATY OF DINGLE

RIVER OF KINGS has a chance
He is exposed with 10 runs
Coming up in distance as well
Never raced here before either
Overall found him underwhelming
But certainly can't be ruled out
His Numbers are right up there

LAFONTAINE v DAZZING DARREN

Won last time out
DAZZING DARREN was in 4th
Should not be much between then
LAFONTAINE one of the lightweights
Coming up from a low starting point
I would see her as a positive here
She will need to progress again
DAZZING DARREN could also win
Some will expect more improvement
And feel she can reverse the form
Hard to say not certain to do that
I see both horses as

1) Positives
2) Potential Savers


Best Profile

TREATY OF DINGLE

Fillies from 8f races
Between 6-7-8 career starts
Running 23-34 days ago
Beaten under 5 lengths last time
Have a W W W 5 W record
TREATY OF DINGLE shares this

Ironically
One of the horses
Included in that W W W 5 W profile
Was Lafontaine who also runs today
Her last win shared this decent profile

Don't like the stable much
Hard to read or rely upon

But I did like her last run
Felt encouraged watching that

The Draw could be an issue
TREATY OF DINGLE is drawn 11
That will put some people off her
It does me a bit to be honest
But the only 8f nursery winner
That has raced here this season
Also won from stall 11 as well

Selection

Option 1

£7.00 Win Bet TREATY OF DINGLE 9/2-5/1

£1.50 Win Bet LAFONTAINE 6/1

£1.50 Win Bet DAZZING DARREN 6/1


Option 2

TREATY OF DINGLE 9/2-5/1

Each Way

Option 2 my preference




Southwell 4.15

5/4 Clipsham Tiger, 11/2 Oblate, 7/1 Crimson King
10/1 Meryems Way, 12/1 Angel Of My Heart, Emojie
14/1 Alpha Tauri, 14/1 Jagerbond, 14/1 Pearl Spectre
20/1 Echo Of Lightning, Rosin Box, 25/1 Berties Mission
40/1 Longville Lilly.

8f Handicap

CLIPSHAM TIGER looks good
On a hat trick after winning twice
Has momentum and the numbers

Racing Post Ratings
Last time out

69 Clipsham Tiger
60 Meryems Way
59 Alpha Tauri
58 Oblate
54 Crimson King
52 Pearl Spectre
50 Berties Mission
49 Echo Of Lightning
42 Emojie
41 Jagerbond
35 Rosin Box
30 Longville Lilly
00 Angel Of My Heart

CLIPSHAM TIGER is 9lbs clear
None of his rivals offer much resistance
ALPHA TAURI is 13 years old now
CRIMSON KING raced once in 170 days
MERYEMS WAY a filly absent 48 days
PEARL SPECTRE an 8yo running slow figures

Should go to the favourite

Selection

CLIPSHAM TIGER 11/10

Win Bet





FUTURE BETTING ANGLES

Didn't prepare anything much
As I was not expecting a message
So just filling in some gaps today


Davis Cup

Starts Today

Spain play tomorrow night

I won't be boring you about this
No running commentary every day
You know my bet and my reasons

Spain have a tough group
But that has been made easier
As Medvedez from Russia doesn't play
They should be fine and get through

The French worry me
They could cause problems

Nick Kyrigios another headache
One player that can beat Nadal here
AUSTRALIA clearly a big danger

The Racing Post tip them at 8/1
If they meet Spain it will be later on
I'd love to seem then knocked out
But they are 4/11 to win their group
I think they are bankers to do that

Each Match

3 Games consisting of
2 singles
1 doubles
Best of 3 sets

All 3 matches
Are played at the same time
On the 3 different courts there

Court number 3
This is tiny with a low capacity
There will not be many there

Ticket sales have been slow

SPAIN have sold out every game
All their games will be very noisy

None of the other games have
May be some empty seats there
Hoping home advantage helps

Not going to bore you all week

Basically I have overstaked
On a team with a very good chance
I need to get a quick dose of reality

An example of how sad I've become
Pathetically watched a video yesterday
Of Rafa Nadal checking into his hotel
So will deliberately calm things down
Lets not turn into a Salford type sage


Next Weekend

There are 2 races
That I want to look at Closely

Saturday

Haydock 2.25 - Betfair Stayers Handicap Hurdle

Sunday

Navan 2.30 - Troytown Handicap Chase

Both races have good angles

Today at 10.00am

There is another entry stage
The markets will be suspended
There will be horses withdrawing
Tomorrow the picture clears up

In the next Column

Whether that is Tuesday or Wednesday
Will be covering at least 1 possibly both
Of these races being run at the weekend


Other Entry Stages

10.00am Today

Entry Stake for these race


Saturday Ascot 2.05

Christy 1965 Chase

ALTIOR v CYRNAME


Saturday Haydock 3.00

Beftair Chase

Bristol De Mai v Lostintranslation

Some serious action next weekend
Nothing we can do in this message
Because entries are done later today


Need to do some Cheltenham work
Cover a few ante post races as well
Not sure how best to approach that

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