Mathematician 350009-06-2020



4 Previews 
0 Account Bet  
1 Highlighted Bet 





Highlighted Bet

Ante Post

Royal Ascot Doubles

  
Prince Of Wales - JAPAN 11/8  
Ascot Gold Cup - KEW GARDENS 7/2
£8 Win Double



Prince Of Wales - JAPAN 11/8  
Ascot Gold Cup - STRADIVARIUS 1/1-10/11
£2 Win Double

 


Prince Of Wales June 17th
Ascot Gold cup June 18th  
The full price guide below





Today's Message   



Starting week 2 of the season
We survived the first one well
Strange after many weeks off
There were few stronger bets
But those we had were decent
Bagged both Guineas winners
There were promising signals
Even hidden in poor messages  
Electricity was cut off yesterday
By the time it returned yesterday
Had got 5 hours behind schedule
So not covering too much today
No chance of covering the cards
Forced to start the day so late
 
4 Previews

Not much I can say today
 
Lingfield 1.00 
Leopardstown 4.00 
Wolverhampton 6.30
Wolverhampton 8.30




Today's Best Bet

Wolverhampton 8.30

£4.50 Each Way TAUREAN DANCER 6/1

£1.00 Win Bet  PRECISION PRINCE 16/1-18/1






Highlighted Bet

Prince Of Wales - Japan 11/8  
Ascot Gold Cup - Kew Gardens 7/2
£8 Win Double

Prince Of Wales - Japan 11/8  
Ascot Gold Cup - Stradivarius 1/1-10/11
£2 Win Double


JAPAN looks a banker to me
Expecting him to win this race
And he could easily start odds on

Obviously he has to get there
And setbacks or injuries are in play

But if and when he does win
We will get to the Ascot Gold Cup

We will be on Kew Gardens at 8/1
With money back if Stradivarius wins

Not an easy bet to get on
Bit of a nuisance to place the bet
Especially with no betting shops open
 
Had options in both of these races
KEW GARDENS each way was one
JAPAN could be a win bet around 6/4
Confident that is account strength too
Expecting Aidan to dominate at Ascot




Highlighted Bet

Price Guide

£8 Win Double 

Japan + Kew Gardens

Returns the following 
With these bookmakers

£105.00 Corals
£105.00 Sportingbet
£100.00 Boyles
£95.00 Skybet
£94.50 Betfred
£94.50 888 Sport
£94.50 Betway
£90.00 Victor Chandler
£90.00 Paddy Power
£86.66 William Hill
£72.00 Unibet





Sunday's Review

No message was sent yesterday
Leaving just Sundays to review
Felt before I sent it was too lame
Probably right it delivered little
The best bet of the day placed 
Trefoil e/w did the decent thing
Ensured the best bet didn't lose
It never reached a high standard
But it did enough not to be a dud
 


PROFILES & PREVIEWS


 
Lingfield 1.00

5/2 Ennistymon, 7/2 Unknown Pleasures
4/1 Shamiyna 7/1 Brinjal, 25/1 Prose, 25/1 Lugnaquilla
25/1 Tejano, 25/1 Emerald Green, 25/1 Illusory, 25/1Marchetti
25/1 Elizabethofaragon, 25/1 Astadash, 40/1 Riojafan
50/1 Glass Of Bubbles, 100/1 Lethal Sensation, Runcible.
 
Fillies Maiden 10f

The market suggest this race
Should be won by one of 4 horses
BRINJAL is the weakest of those
Little sign of confidence for her
She needed her first run as a 2yo

SHAMINYNA is unraced drawn 1
Don't like the sound of that combination
Ran some draw stats over 10f + here
None won first time drawn 1 (0-14)
We can only take guess here
But I would split stake this race
ENNISTYMON could be a saver bet
Well backed and impeccable connections
UNKNOWN PLEASURE as the value bet
She has the most experience of these
And reached an acceptable level as a 2yo

Selection

£5 Win Bet UNKNOWN PLEASURE 4/1  

£5 Win Bet ENNISTYMON Evens





Leopardstown 4.00

11/2 Global Pass, 6/1 Morph, 7/1 Lady Arona
8/1 Dromod Lad, 9/1 Munfallet, 10/1 Aunty Audrey
11/1 Airgead, 14/1 Crest Of A Wave, Farnese, Lady Savanah
16/1 Guiding, 20/1 Goodwood Showman, Tennessee Wildcat
25/1 Havana Breeze, 28/1 My Lark, 50/1 Descendant
66/1 Maggie Thunder.

8f Handicap

Big field

MUNFALLET is the topweight
But as a 9yo with a 109 day absence 
He will do well to win this from stall 20

Since 2011
Horses drawn 19 or more are 0-33
In all 8f races run at Leopardstown
Reserve runners complicate this
But the very high draw and not safe
GLOBAL PASS drawn 21 has this issue

LADY SAVANAH looks an unlikely winner
MY LARK has very limited numbers
TENNESSEE WILDCAT is now a 10yo
Oldest horse no recent run so rejected
HAVANA BREEZE is a mare first time out
From a stable with a bad absence record
MORPH has had 7 career starts
Not worried about the profile too much
But he has just downgraded stables
His new one have never trained a winner
DROMOD LAD has a difficult drawn in 19
His trainers runners with absences are poor
The 10lbs claiming jockey a 2-88 strike race
Not enough trust in connections to support
GOODMAN SHOWMAN has a small chance
But was regressive most of last season
AUDREY AUDREY is a mare who went hurdling
Not enough positives but not a negative
CREST OF A WAVE doesn't look much


Shortlist

LADY ARONA is a filly first time out
Strong stable and worth keeping on side

AIRGEAD is interesting
Showed more than enough last year
Excuse his last race of the season
Bad draw and the ground went soft

FARNESE is shortlistable

Selection

£4 Each Way AIRGEAD 9/1

£1 Win Bet FARNESE 10/1 

£1 Win Bet LADY ARONA 10/1







Wolverhampton 6.30

2/1 Stagiaire, 7/2 Sophar Sogood, 4/1 Batalha
9/2 Justified, 11/2 Deposit, 8/1 Saracen Star
16/1 Paint It Black, 33/1 Roman's Empress.

3yo Handicap 1m 6f

Go back 20 years
Handicaps for 3 year olds
Ran over 1m 5f and more
Run in 0-75 class or lower

Horses with under 4 runs
Absent over 6 months
Have a 1-41 record in them
Horses with 3 runs underperform
Including a lot of fancied horses

DEPOSIT has 3 runs
Going to look for a safer option
JUSTIFIED only has 3 runs
BATALHA his stablemate does to
SARACEN STAR is a Stan Moore filly
Will do well to get home over this far
And the stable are ones to avoid now

SOPHAR SO GOOD was my bet
But withdrew a few minutes ago
So saver now becomes selection
 
Selection 
 
STAGIAIRE 11/8

Win Bet

 


 
Wolverhampton 8.30

5/2 Competition, 5/1 Robeam, 11/2 Cafe Sydney
15/2 Taurean Dancer, 8/1 Howardian Hills, 10/1 Aria Rose
11/1 Sunshineandbubbles, 12/1 Precision Prince
16/1 Chelsea's Boy, Ravenous, 25/1 Homing Star.

12f Handicap

Several of these
Look unlikely to get home over this far
When you factor in the absence factor
CAFE SYDNEY could be one of those
Especially as a filly with topweight

COMPETITION has hurdling form
But not proven on the flat over this far
Pedigree doubts over this far with a break
ARIA ROSE is unsafe sired by Cityscape

Sires in this race
Their runners over 12f or more
Absent more than 10 weeks

HOWARDIAN HILLS Sire
Runners over 1m 3f and more
Absent more than 20 days are 0-100
Looks a big stamina/absence worry

ROBEAM's sire shares this problems
Runners over 1m 4f and more
Absent more than 58 days are 0-23

RAVENOUS has 92 days off
His trainers flat runners since he started
Absent more than 84 days is just 1-124
Can not trust him to get him fit

PRECISION PRINCE is fine
TAUREAN DANCER looks best
 
Selection

£4.50 Each Way TAUREAN DANCER 6/1

£1.00 Win Bet  PRECISION PRINCE 16/1-18/1

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