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Today's Racing    

 
Day off yesterday

Planned a second day off today
But changed my mind last night

Decided today was an ideal time
To bury some recent bad news
Covered in Future Betting Angles



Only 2 previews

Wasn't ready for a full message



Today's Best Bet

Stratford 7.30

Butte Montana 13/8

Win Bet


 


Preview Selections  



Roscommon 7.40
£7.50 Win Bet Miss Cunning 5/1
£2.50 Win Bet Intervention 3/1

Stratford 7.30
Butte Montana 138
Win Bet





Yesterday's Review  

Sunday the latest message
Chose some aggressive races
On the back of a long stretch
So quite pleased how we did
Previews finished P W P P P L
Rode our luck couple of times
But the message worked well
Really just down to the staking
Decent staking helped results 
The best bet on of the places
Schmidt the leading bet failed
Sword Of Fate the saver won 
Broke level on strongest race
Overall the message worked
And finished in front overall
Bit better than I had expected  





PROFILES & PREVIEWS   
 


Roscommon 5.40

4/1 Intervention, 6/1 Amazing One, What A Feeling
7/1 Stormy Jenn, Tennesse Waltz, 8/1 Hands Down
10/1 Macs Dilemma, Miss Cunning, Tynamite
16/1 Approachcautiously, 16/1 Forge Road
40/1 Our Patron Saint, Sanctuary Place.

7f Apprentice Handicap

Similar races here show
Horses with 9st 7lbs or more
Have a 0-20 record

WHAT A FEELING fails this
He has raced once on 253 days
That combination could hurt him

STORMY JENN is similar
Raced once in only 284 days
With a big weight against him

Several others look underraced
MACS DILEMMA has 1 run in 200 days

TENNESSE WALTZ is 10 years old
He has raced once in 238 days


APPROACHINGCAUTIOUSLY a 5yo
Has raced just once in 269 days now

TYNAMITE has 72 days off
Hardly ideal for a 7 year old
Especially in an Apprentice race
 
HANDS DOWN might win
But she is a 4yo filly
She has ran consistently slowly
Her only win came when 50/1
She has since been well beaten
This probably is further than ideal
She just looks very beatable
FORGE ROAD has raced 5 times
Hasn't done enough to tempt me

AMAZING ONE

Exposed 7yo
He is modest but at least fit
But his numbers are poor
Comes here after a big defeat
And a better horse on the sand

INTERVENTION

First impressions
Wanted to oppose up in trip
But his last run was decent
And many rivals are unfit
He could be the saver bet

MISS CUNNING

She is a filly
But is fit and running well
Dropped in class for this

Selection

£7.50 Win Bet MISS CUNNING 5/1

£2.50 Win Bet INTERVENTION 3/1




Stratford 7.30

13/8 San Fermin, 9/4 Butte Montana, 8/1 Decora
8/1 Jalwan, Mordred, 14/1 Battle March, Simply True
33/1 Cheat, Duke Of Chalfont, 100/1 Lambristo
100/1 Storm Girl, Trigger Happy.

Maiden Hurdle 2m

This could be a match

Butte Montana v San Fermin

JALWAN is a 4 year old might win
But he needs to improve to do this
And nagging doubt about stamina
DECORA looks a modest 4yo filly
She also looks quite beatable too

SAN FERMIN won a soft bumper
Small field and he was 2/13 there
Nothing wrong with that profile 
Not the most expensive purchase 

BUTTE MONTANA has 3 hurdle runs 
Racing Post argue the standard set
May not be too daunting to overcome 
SAN FERMIN they feel might beat him 
Possibly so but rejecting this view 
 
BUTTE MONTANA in his bumpers
Ran a couple of promising races
He was 2nd at Cheltenham on debut
Made favourite for a bumper there
Could well be a decent clue for this
Then it was a Listed Ascot bumper

His 3 hurdle runs are progressive
One was at Cheltenham in December
Nothing wrong with his 4th that day
The 3 horses finishing ahead of him
Are now rated 138 140 and 140
Last time out he ran at Stratford
Good second to a Henderson horse
Who was much more experienced
Had Cheltenham handicap form
BUTTE MONTANA ran him second

His size and hurdling experience
Make him look the percentage bet
Against an unraced hurdling rival

Selection

BUTTE MONTANA 138

Win Bet





FUTURE BETTING ANGLES          



Sunday Night

Mentally done after a long run
Knew I was taking Monday off
Watching France and Belgium
Decided to do a Saturday race

Bunbury Cup at Newmarket

Having made decent progress
Even ending up with a shortlist
I realised it wasn't this Saturday
It is being run on Saturday week !
My brain just got too scrambled

Monday

Took a few hours off the grid

Came back to some shocks


Shock 1

Stefanos Tsitipas 

Wimbledon 2021

Knocked out in round 1

Been nibbling on him for weeks
Looks like this came too soon
After his French Open exertions

Will keep one eye on Wimbledon
But well down by radar right now
Concentrating on the horse racing


Shock 2

France

Euro 2021


This bet is now down and out

£6 Win Bet - France 9/2-5/1 
£4 Saver - France to reach Semi f 6/4


It was a major upset

Throwing away a 3-1 lead
Finally losing on penalties

Did not expect those shocks

 
There are times

When you get so much wrong 

Don't know why it happened

But it triggered something in me

To revisit a message months ago


New years Day
 
My 2021 Predictions

Arrogantly titled at the time
As the Maths 2021 Almanac
Half way through the year
These are the results so far


Liverpool to win the Premier League 
Mohamed Salah to be top goalscorer
 
This one gets even worse
Salford City to win Division easily 
As we now know they really didn't

Euro 2021 

Predicted it would be abandoned !!

If not I went Spain to win the Euro's
France and Germany the two savers


Champions League

Selected Bayern Munich
Who were soon well beaten

League Cup

Went for Spurs
Reached the final at least
But were hammered in that 

Derby + Oaks

Said Aidan wins the Derby
He didn't but got one right
He won the Oaks as I said

Cheltenham

Said it would be abandoned
Again that took place as well 

Predictably probably in April
The Queen may well abdicate

Novak Djokovic 

He would win no Grand Slams
He has since won both slams "
Probably win Wimbledon too

Dominic Thiem

Predicted World Number 1 
He has regressed badly since


We can now add another one


Stefanos Tsitipas at Wimbledon

Knocked out yesterday in round 1

Dreadfull 2021 predictions

Mother of God
 
  

Euro 2021 

England v Germany
 
Tonight

My opinon is irrelevant

Haven't actual got one  

Toss of the coin match

Marginally prefer England

Those who care enough

Those desperate for us to win

Surely have to bet this

Germany 10/1-11/1

To win on Penalties

If we reach extra time

You will be glad you had this
 
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