2 Previews 
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Preview Selections

Punchestown 1.55
Beyond Ambitious 6/4
Win Bet

Fontwell 4.59
£6.00 Win Bet Independence 5/1
£4.00 Win Bet The Height Of Fame 7/4





Today's Message  


No flat racing

Call it a quirk of the calendar
Or simply foolish scheduling
As the racing post suggests
It is little better then pointless

So many national hunt cards 
Leaves us with smaller fields
So not pressing hard today



Next week

Much more substantial week
Message 6 in a 13 day period
So buy messages will resume
Tomorrow and up to the Derby

No chance of a bet today

Written the day off

But back to normal tomorrow
 



Underneath The Message 
 
Not having any bets myself




Yesterday's Review 

Heavy schedule to navigate
Definitely affected the quality
We finished off L L P L W W L
Overall felt it was ineffective
But the main bet was the plan
SHOWBUSINESS won nicely
That was the important thing
But the cracks were still there
If offered at the start of the day
I would have taken the winner
Even if the rest of it was poor
Bitter sweet tallying things up
But a decent account winner 
Felt the cards had beaten me
But we got the main bet right
Just as we did last Saturday 


 
PROFILES & PREVIEWS 



Punchestown 1.55

9/4 Beyond Ambitious, 3/1 Mitiva, 8/1 Galactica
8/1 Shona Mea, 10/1 Dalgan Park, 10/1 Lizlucky
12/1 Return To Base, Via Rosa, 16/1 Be A Lucky Lady
16/1 Shesdoenwell, 25/1 Cloudy Fountain, Country Queen
33/1 Delta Lodge, 33/1 Ghumama, 33/1 Sagebelle
50/1 Stealing Kisses, 66/1 Chinook.

Mares Maiden hurdle

Few offer any positives
Those horses that have them
Can be questioned as well
GALATICA is one example 
As a 4yo with no hurdle form

MITIVA another 4 year old
Has raced once over hurdles
But her profile is not safe

January to June
Mares Maiden Hurdles
Any distance
Horses aged 4
Just 1 hurdle run
Under 3 career starts
Have a 0-62 record
MITIVA fails this 0-62 angle

BEYOND AMBITIOUS

No hurdle runs before
Won a bumper 15 days ago
Brings momentum into this
Beat a Willie Mullins favourite
Winning a bumper not an issue

Punchestown
Had 15 of these races
Run during May and June

5 of 15 Punchestown winners
Came from bumpers like her
3 of the 5 winners won recently
She is similar to the 2017 winner
Just prefer her momentum here

Selection

BEYOND AMBITIOUS 6/4

Win Bet




Fontwell 4.59

13/8 The Height Of Fame, 5/1 Branson Missouri
7/1 Independence, 8/1 Age Of Wisdom, What's My Line
10/1 Blood Eagle, Tara Niece, 14/1 Say Nothing
16/1 Ramore Will, 20/1 Zinat.

Handicap Hurdle 2m 5f

THE HEIGHT OF FAME

Young unexposed mare
She won easily last time
Her only real flaw is price
Using her as a saver bet

Similar Fontwell races
Suggest unexposed horses
Those with under 15 hurdles
Are the safest horses to bet

Horses with over 15 hurdles
Have a poor record in this
AGE OF WISDOM a 9yo does
ZINAT has the same problem
RAMORE WILL does as well

SAY NOTHING is a mare
Not for me with 175 days off

TARA NIECE looks underraced
With just 1 run in 22 months
BLOOD EAGLE may be as well
Having raced once in 223 days

WHAT'S MY LINE is an option
He is a lightly raced 5 year old
Last time 2nd to the favourite
But he was only a 25/1 chance
Rated as low as 74 a concern
Every other horse rated 82 +
Not convinced he has the class

BRANDON MISSOURI a mare
Stepping up in distance here
Not ruled out but not matchable

Mixing the in form favourite
And the class horse at better odds
INDEPENDANCE is unexposed
Could be the biggest danger
And appeals as the split stake bet 

Selection

£6.00 Win Bet INDEPENDANCE 5/1

£4.00 Win Bet THE HEIGHT OF FAME 7/4

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