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Favourite Bets

Curragh 2.25
£4.00 Each Way Purring Along 16/1
£1.00 Win Bet  Cnodian 13/2-7/1
£1.00 Win Bet Von Krolock 9/1 
1/5 Odds
1-2-3-4-5

Tramore 2.35 
£4.50 Each Way Prince Of Air 12/1
£1.00 Win Bet No Show 9/1-10/1
1/5 Odds
1-2-3-4-5





Final Deliberations   
 
Started this week very slowly 
Deliberate plan to back away
Freshen up after a long stint
Concentrate on the weekend

Friday to Sunday looks quality
Sunday is strong this weekend
So should get much busier now



The biggest problem today

There are a lot of bigger fields

Races that are time consuming

Settled on 3 handicaps

None of these are easy

Final tune up for tomorrow

Where York will be main focus

3 Previews


Obviously based on previews
The most likely winner of these
Would the final preview at Ayr

The other 2 previews

Have 16/1 and 12/1 selections

Difficult but interesting races

Could easily end up with nothing

But a couple of small interest bets

We can get busier tomorrow



Curragh 2.25
£4.00 Each Way Purring Along 16/1
£1.00 Win Bet  Cnodian 13/2-7/1
£1.00 Win Bet Von Krolock 9/1 
1/5 Odds
1-2-3-4-5

Tramore 2.35 
£4.50 Each Way Prince Of Air 12/1
£1.00 Win Bet No Show 9/1-10/1
1/5 Odds
1-2-3-4-5







Preview Selections

Curragh 2.25
£4.00 Each Way Purring Along 16/1
£1.00 Win Bet  Cnodian 13/2-7/1
£1.00 Win Bet Von Krolock 9/1 
1/5 Odds
1-2-3-4-5

Tramore 2.35 
£4.50 Each Way Prince Of Air 12/1
£1.00 Win Bet No Show 9/1-10/1
1/5 Odds
1-2-3-4-5
 
Ayr 3.55
Ramiro 9/2 
Each Way 
1/5 Odds 
1-2-3-4






Yesterday's Summary 

Late decision to send a message
We covered just the one preview
Stakes back from the place saver
On a very uneventful 1 race day





PROFILES & PREVIEWS  



Curragh 2.25

13/2 Lisieux, 7/1 Brown Eagle, 7/1 Golden Days
15/2 Cnodian, 8/1 Purring Along, 8/1 Singe Anglais
10/1 Von Krolock, 12/1 Tall Story, 14/1 Whatharm
16/1 Asisaid, Chica Power, Nituna, Racing Royalty
20/1 Samantha Maguire, 25/1 Carlton Banks, 
25/1 Stop On Red,50/1 Sagittarius Rising.
 
7f Handicap

Horses rated 0-65

Looking at any draw bias

Safest range stalls 2-12

BROWN EAGLE is drawn 1
Happy to oppose 72 days off

Go back to 2021
Curragh 7f handicaps
Horses with over 11 runs
Drawn in stall 13 or higher
Have a 0-73 record in them

Wary about the highest draws
Less so if they are unexposed
Opposing the following horses
Based on their very high draws

STOP ON RED
SAGGITTARIUS RISING 
SINGE ANGLAIS
WHATHARM
TALL STORY

RACING ROYALTY is a 4 year old
Lightly raced progressive very well
But 10st 1lbs is such a lot of weight
In a field this big it is a challenge

Some of these
Could be underraced

SAMANTHA MAGUIRE a filly
Has raced just twice in a year
ASISAID is short of runs 

GOLDEN DAYS a 6yo mare
Has a nasty 43 days absence

Similar 7f handicaps
Run during October show
Horses aged 5 or more
Absent more than 35 days
Have a 0-82 record in them
The following horses fail

GOLDEN DAYS
LONDON PALLADIUM
SINGE ANGLAIS
WHATHARM
STOP ON RED
CARLTON BANKS

LISIEUX is a 3 year old filly
Thats fine but very exposed now
And has stall 16 to negotiate

CHICA POWER an older mare
Would not be my first choice
NITUNA has not done enough


CNODIAN could easily win
Recent run in a better race
But quite an unorthodox profile
She is a mare going up in trip
But her fitness is persuasive

VON KROLOCK a 4yo gelding
Racing Royalty beat him last time
Looked a very strong pace
VON KROLOCK is not exposed
If he can cope with the ground
He could easily be good enough

PURRING AROUND is an option
No problem as a 4 year old filly
Felt she needed the race last time
Drawn widest was no help either
 
Selection

£4.00 Each Way PURRING AROUND 16/1
 
£1.00 Win Bet CNODIAN 13/2-7/1

£1.00 Win Bet VON KROLOCK 9/1 

1/5 Odds

1-2-3-4-5







Tramore 2.35

5/1 Port Rashid, 15/2 Bite That
8/1 No Show, 8/1 Duke Otto, 8/1 Pana To Milan
8/1 Prince Of Air, 9/1 Star Official, 10/1 Cruisin Susan
14/1 Craic Eile, 16/1 Fortfield Lady 20/1 Dugort Bay
25/1 Prince Quattro, 50/1 Coppercoast Paudie
66/1 Catrionas Darling

Handicap Hurdle 2m
 
Past renewals show

Ideally you want a horse

Running within 8 weeks

With under 20 runs

With under 12 hurdle runs

Past renewals show

Horses aged 7 or more
Absent more than 7 days
Beaten last time out
Have a 0-68 record in this
The following horses fail

PORT RASHID
FORTIFIED LADY
COPPERCOAST PAUDIE
BITE THAT

BITE THAT has 114 days off

Horses absent over 8 weeks
Have a 0-39 record in this
DUKE OTTO fails this angle
DUGORT BAY does as well

DELTA MELODY a reserve
Looks inexperienced is running

PANA TO MILAN is a 5yo
One bad run in several months
Too many doubts about wellbeing

CRAIC EILE is a 6 year olds
Capable of winning off 94
But he is very exposed now
He has 46 career starts
He has 25 hurdle starts
Similar profiles have failed
Wanted more positives here

STAR OFFICIAL is a 5yo
His problem will be 12st weight
Similar races show all 5 year olds
With more than 14 career starts
Have not won with 11st 9lbs or more
 
CRUISIN SUSAN a 6yo mare
Faces 53 days absence here
Puts pressure on her profile
No negative but challenges

NO SHOW has a chance
Bit more exposed than ideal
Beaten a bit too far last time
But he was given a bad ride
Held up too long on sharp track
May not have stayed as well
He certainly wasn't bred to stay
Had previously won over this trip
Going with him as a saver bet
 
PRINCE OF AIR is a 6yo
Bit disappointing last time
There were excuses there
And his general profile right


Selection

£4.50 Each Way PRINCE OF AIR 12/1

£1.00 Win Bet NO SHOW 9/1-10/1

1/5 Odds

1-2-3-4-5







Ayr 3.55

100/30 Admiral D, 7/2 Ascot Adventure
6/1 Abduction 13/2 Ramiro, Snazzy Jazzy
9/1 Iris Dancer, 10/1 Jump The Gun, 20/1 Be Proud
20/1 Quintus Arrius, 25/1 Ramon Di Loria, Sound Of Iona
33/1 Shandy Star.
  
6f Handicap

Horses rated 0-86

ADMIRAL D is favourite
Perfectly fair down in class
But he has few recent races
Just 1 run in 109 days now

October
6f Handicaps
Horses aged 4
Over 12 career starts
Just 1 run in 12 weeks
Have a 0-20 record
ADMIRAL D fails this

If we extend that profile
September to November
There is a 1-52 record
Just cautious on heavy 
He is coming back quickly
After months off the track

Interesting draw statistic

Valid right back to 2002

Ayr
6f Handicaps
Under 13 runners
Horses with over 8 runs
Absent over 9 days
Drawn 10 or higher
Have a 0-90 record

High draws disadvantaged
The only horses that won
Were either very lightly raced
Or had very recent races
The following horses fail this

IRIS DANCER a mare drawn 12

SHANDY STAR is badly drawn

ASCOT ADVENTURE is drawn 11
Could have the class to win this
Despite a negative higher draw 
But it should be a disadvantage 

SOUND OF IONA up in trip
Not difficult to oppose here
QUINTUS ARRIUS outclassed
BE PROUD is not doing enough

RAMONA DI LORIA is a 5yo
Seems a bit off the boil right now
Small chance but no wins on soft

SNAZZY JAZZY is an 8yo
Ran very well here last time
But he is a bit short of runs
Just 2 races in almost 4 months
 
Similar races show

Horses aged 6 or more
With under 3 previous races
In the last 12 weeks
Running within 48 days
Return a 0-47 record
He also has topweight as well

JUMP THE GUN has a chance
Most of his recent races though
Would not be good enough
The figures he has produced
In 6f races on soft or heavy 
Don't look good enough either
ABDUCTION has the class
But not the soft ground form
None of his runs when it's soft
Are enough to defy his 86 rating

RAMIRO is fit and loves the mud

Looks the percentage bet here

Selection

RAMIRO 9/2

Each Way
 
1/5 Odds

1-2-3-4

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