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Favourite Bets    
  
Hamilton 2.50 
Crack The Kode 5/1-11/2 
Each Way


  
Personal Bets    
  
Newton Abbot 1.55 
£25 Win Carrigeen Kampala 1/1-11/10 
£35 Place Edeiffs Rock 4/6

If this bet loses
Will bet Crack The Code
Just to return any losses




Final Deliberations   
 
Derby and Oaks week

Start of a fresh a run of messages

Today is more of a warm up for this

Not going with any bets today

Just scrambled a message out

Practice message

Before we go on a longer run






Preview Selections


Newton Abbot 1.55
Carrigeen Kampala 1/1-11/10 
Win Bet

Beverley 2.10
£6.00 Win Bet Imperial Khan 5/1
£4.00 Place Bet High Security 11/8-6/4

Hamilton 2.50 
Crack The Kode 5/1-11/2 
Each Way

Beverley 3.40 
£8.50 Win Bet Sidney's Son 100/30
£1.50 Win Bet Leap Day 13/2-7/1

Beverley 4.10
£7.00 Win Bet  Crown Princess 11/2
£1.50 Win Bet Dandy Maestro 5/1-11/2
£1.50 Win Bet Poet's Dawn 7/1-8/1





PROFILES & PREVIEWS  





Newton Abbot 1.55

11/10 Carrigeen Kampala, 9/2 Scarlett Clipper
5/1 Mairis Icon, 13/2 Ede'Iffs Rock, 8/1 Jobesgreen Girl
16/1 Ambush Annie, 33/1 Ryder's Rock, 50/1 Bollywollywotsit
66/1 Allez Allez Dancer, 66/1 Maskara.
 
Mares Novices' Hurdle 2m 1f

One or two interesting issues

CARRIGEEN KAMPALA a 5yo
Comes here winning last time  
Her figures are nothing special
Would be easy to overrate her
But she has the safest profile

Fergal O'Brien her trainer 
Also runs the second favourite
SCARLET CLIPPER is unraced
I looked at unraced 6 year olds

May to November
Mares Novice Hurdles
Any distance 
Mares aged 6 or more
Having their racecourse debuts
Have a winless 0-108 record
SCARLET CLIPPER fails this

Some have won before May
Some did win in December
But none in the above months

If there was a half decent option
Would have liked the split stake
With a saver on the favourite

EDEIFFS ROCK is an option
Beat nothing when 2nd on debut
Started 50/1 against an odds on  
Doesn't look the biggest of horses
But neither does the favourite

MAIRIS ICON was 150/1 on debut

Could easily split stake this one

EDEIFFS ROCK a win bet 4/1-9/2

CARRIGEEN KAMPALA to win 11/10
 
But going with a win selection instead

Selection

CARRIGEEN KAMPALA  1/1-11/10

Win Bet






Beverley 2.10

9/2 Van Gerwen, 5/1 Harry With Style, 6/1 Sharrabang
13/2 High Security, Imperial Khan, 7/1 Emeralds Pride
9/1 Snow Berry, 10/1 Howyadoin, Star Of Havana
25/1 Golden Prosperity, 33/1 Roman Blaze
33/1 Sir Arthur's Boy

5f Handicap

Go back to 2007
May and June
Beverley 5f handicaps
Class 6 races
Horses aged 4 or more
With just 1 run this season
Have a 0-63 record in them
This applies to these horses

HOWTADOIN
SNOW BERRY
EMERALDS PRIDE
SIR ARTHUR'S BOY

STAR OF HAVANA a 4yo
Rejected first time out with 3 runs
GOLDEN PROSPERITY unsafe

HARRY WITH STYLE is a 3yo
Inconclusive record with his age

In Beverley races like this
Horses aged 3
Absent over 29 days
Have a 0-12 record

Similar races elsewhere
Horses aged 3
Over 9 career runs
Absent over 22 days
Have a 0-15 record
HARRY WITH STYLE fails both
Not a negative but no positive

SHARRABANG an exposed 7yo
Has he got enough class rated 47

HIGH SECURITY is a 5yo
Widest draw stall 12 of 12

Beverley 5f handicaps
Any class of race
Any time of year
Under 14 runners
Since 2011
Horses drawn 11 or more
Carrying 9st 7lbs or more
Have a 0-28 record in them
HIGH SECURITY fails this
ROMAN BLAZE fails this too

IMPERIAL KHAN is a 4yo
Modest horse in a modest race
But ran well last time and fit

VAN GERWEN ran well last time
Only his age (10) is off putting
Some do win these handicaps

 In the same period of time
VAN GERWEN has raced once
IMPERIAL KHAN has ran 3 times

HARRY WITH STYLE- Non runner

Fittest profiles

HIGH SECURITY 
IMPERIAL KHAN

Selection

£6.00 Win Bet IMPERIAL KHAN 5/1

£4.00 Place Bet HIGH SECURITY 11/8-6/4






Hamilton 2.50

7/4 Lieutenant Rascal, 9/2 Invincible Tiger
11/2 Grecian Princess, 6/1 Crack The Kode
9/1 Moyola, 10/1 Swordplay,  20/1 Ganesha
20/1 Professor Tickle.

2yo Maiden (5f)

Suspect there are 3 runners

Unraced horses drawn 8 or more
Should be opposed over 5f here

SWORDPLAY has this problem
PROFESSOR TICKLE does too
There has been a non runner
That will help both but not for me

GRECIAN PRINCESS is a filly
May want further than 5 furlongs
Could be here to get handicapped 

I like all 3 market leaders

LIEUTENANT RASCAL has 2 runs
Sets a clear standard on his figures

CRACK THE KODE will improve

INVINCIBLE TIGER should as well
When he made his racecourse debut
He was just behind Lieutenant Rascal 
Drawn much wider and was favourite
Trainer has a smart record here (6-11)
The only 2yo he sent here a winner
What worries me most here is pedigree
Out of a Rainbow Quest mare

CRACK THE CODE sharper bred
Could be the sensible option here

Selection

CRACK THE CODE 5/1-11/2

Each Way







Beverley 3.40

2/1 Man Of A'An, 11/4 Sidney's Son, 4/1 Leap Day
9/2 Bobby's Blessing, 11/1 Tipp Town, 12/1 Dance Angel
50/1 Lady Douglas.

7f Maiden race

BOBBY'S BLESSING a 4yo
Has his racecourse debut here
Giving weight to 3 year olds
Who have plenty of experience
That may be asking too much

MAN OF A'AN has raced twice
Done nothing wrong could win
But he faces a couple of dangers
Who also offer stiff resistance
And he is drawn widest as well

SIDNEY'S SON is interesting

Trainer had many of the siblings
All were all rated between 72-105
Many won early on as 3 year olds
I'd rather take these two horses
That the favourite in the race
 
LEAP DAY flopped last time
Got found out by heavy ground
Was always in a bad position
Looked an improver before it

Selection

£8.50 Win Bet SIDNEY'S SON 100/30

£1.50 Win Bet LEAP DAY 13/2-7/1





Beverley 4.10

5/2 Shaladar, 5/1 Casilli, 5/1 Dandy Maestro
6/1 Golden Sands, 7/1 Captain Corelli, 9/1 Poet's Dawn
10/1 Crown Princess, 14/1 Scotch Mistress
16/1 War Defender.

8f Handicap

Opposing a combination
The horses with bad draws
Those with unfit profiles too

CASILLI could be one
She is an older 6yo mare
Having raced once in 10 months
And well beaten in that comeback

May and June
8f Handicaps
Any class of race
Mares aged 6 or more
Just 1 run that season
Carrying 8st 9lbs or more
Return a 0-45 record in them
CASILLI shares this profile

The outsiders look underraced

SHALADAR has topweight

He is a 4yo with 9st 11lbs

He fails this complicated angle

Go back to 2005
Beverely 8f Handicaps
Any class of race
Any time of year  
Male 4 year olds
Over 17 career starts
Beaten last time out
Absent over only 2 days
Carrying 9st 4lbs or more
Have a 0-40 record in them
That angle is a bit complicated
Not sure it will work out or not
SHALADAR does fail it
GOLDEN SANDS just does too

Split staking this race

Win bet and 2 savers

Selection

£7.00 Win Bet CROWN PRINCESS 11/2

£1.50 Win Bet DANCY MAESTRO 5/1-11/2
 
£1.50 Win Bet POET'S DAWN 7/1-8/1
 
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