Mathematician 4494 | 23-07-2023 |
2 Previews
0 Account bet
Message Bets
No selections
Final Deliberations
Message blew up an hour ago
Redcar suddenly abandoned
Curragh followed minutes later
Neither card were inspecting
Lost 6 previews within minutes
What was an 8 race message
Now becomes a two race day
Going to write the day off early
Wasted enough time already
There is a Monday message
Preview Selections
Stratford 2.20
Prime Time Lady 9/1
Each Way
Newton Abbot 2.35
Hourless 7/4
Win Bet
Yesterday's Summary
Given the weather complications
That was a well planned message
To produce an account bet winner
With decent results in other races
That was as good as I dared hope
Message finished up P L P P W W
Just one losing race in 6 previews
Including two national hunt races
Now looks like a sensible strategy
Courtland put up a big performance
Finished placed second each way
Pyramid Place was so impressive
Given a very confident ride in last
Hampered by a first hurdle faller
He looked like he was detached
But had a lot in hand over others
And came home for a superb win
Well managed rewarding message
PROFILES & PREVIEWS
Stratford 2.20
3/1 Never No Trouble, 9/2 Miss Fedora, 5/1 Born To Please
7/1 Prime Time Lady, 8/1 Fabreze, 9/1 Lady Gwen
10/1 Maria Magdalena, 12/1 Coastal Sun, 12/1 Noonie
16/1 Quiet Thunder.
Mares' Handicap Hurdle 2m 2f
The strategy here
Oppose the 4 year olds
Not bomb proof by any means
But based on this statistic
Go back to 2007
June to September
Mares Handicap Hurdles
Any distance
Any class
With over 5 runners
Horses aged 4
Absent over 30 days
Return a 0-55 record
NOONIE has this profile
MISS FEDORA has this too
Go back to 2007
January to September
Mares Handicap Hurdles
Any distance
Any class
Horses aged 4
Over 9 hurdle races
Coming from non graded races
Have a 0-23 record in them
NEVER NO TROUBLE fails this
COASTAL STAR is rejected
Rated low and may lack class
FABREZE is risky as an 8yo
Who is coming down 4f in trip
MARY MAGDALENA is unsafe
If I am right about the above
PRIME TIME LADY topweight
Maybe able to outclass these
Dropping down from a class 4
Selection
PRIME TIME LADY 9/1
Each Way
Newton Abbot 2.35
7/4 Max Of Stars, 2/1 Hourless, 6/1 Secret Sauce
8/1 Sgian Dubh, 12/1 Logistical, 14/1 Hadley Park
20/1 Kilcummin.
3yo Hurdle
Looks like a match
SECRET SAUCE is hard to trust
Coming from an 8f claiming race
SGIAN DUBH is inexperienced
Not trusting him from a 10f race
LOGISTICAL has a weak sire
Has just 1 bad run in months
MAX OF STARS is a big threat
HOURLESS just got the decision
From a better class of stable
Selection
HOURLESS 7/4
Win Bet
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