Mathematician 449423-07-2023



2 Previews 
0 Account bet 
   
 
  
Message Bets

No selections





Final Deliberations   


Message blew up an hour ago

Redcar suddenly abandoned

Curragh followed minutes later

Neither card were inspecting

Lost 6 previews within minutes

What was an 8 race message

Now becomes a two race day

Going to write the day off early

Wasted enough time already

There is a Monday message






Preview Selections


  
Stratford 2.20
Prime Time Lady 9/1
Each Way

Newton Abbot 2.35
Hourless 7/4
Win Bet





Yesterday's Summary     
 
Given the weather complications
That was a well planned message
To produce an account bet winner
With decent results in other races
That was as good as I dared hope
Message finished up P L P P W W
Just one losing race in 6 previews
Including two national hunt races
Now looks like a sensible strategy
Courtland put up a big performance
Finished placed second each way
Pyramid Place was so impressive
Given a very confident ride in last
Hampered by a first hurdle faller
He looked like he was detached
But had a lot in hand over others
And came home for a superb win
Well managed rewarding message





PROFILES & PREVIEWS




Stratford 2.20

3/1 Never No Trouble, 9/2 Miss Fedora, 5/1 Born To Please
7/1 Prime Time Lady, 8/1 Fabreze, 9/1 Lady Gwen
10/1 Maria Magdalena, 12/1 Coastal Sun, 12/1  Noonie
16/1 Quiet Thunder.
 
Mares' Handicap Hurdle 2m 2f

The strategy here
Oppose the 4 year olds

Not bomb proof by any means
But based on this statistic

Go back to 2007
June to September
Mares Handicap Hurdles
Any distance
Any class
With over 5 runners
Horses aged 4
Absent over 30 days
Return a 0-55 record

NOONIE has this profile
MISS FEDORA has this too
 
Go back to 2007
January to September
Mares Handicap Hurdles
Any distance
Any class
Horses aged 4
Over 9 hurdle races
Coming from non graded races
Have a 0-23  record in them
NEVER NO TROUBLE fails this

COASTAL STAR is rejected
Rated low and may lack class

FABREZE is risky as an 8yo
Who is coming down 4f in trip

MARY MAGDALENA is unsafe

If I am right about the above

PRIME TIME LADY topweight
Maybe able to outclass these
Dropping down from a class 4

Selection

PRIME TIME LADY 9/1

Each Way






Newton Abbot 2.35



7/4 Max Of Stars, 2/1 Hourless, 6/1 Secret Sauce
8/1 Sgian Dubh, 12/1 Logistical, 14/1 Hadley Park
20/1 Kilcummin.

3yo Hurdle

Looks like a match

SECRET SAUCE is hard to trust
Coming from an 8f claiming race
SGIAN DUBH is inexperienced
Not trusting him from a 10f race
LOGISTICAL has a weak sire
Has just 1 bad run in months

MAX OF STARS is a big threat

HOURLESS just got the decision

From a better class of stable

Selection

HOURLESS 7/4

Win Bet

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