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Final Deliberations 
 
Start of a brand new week 
Still recovering from the last 

Need a quieter low key day
Lower the temperature a bit
Then look at this weeks plans

Non committal message

Not pushed particularly hard
 
5 Previews

Prefer the middle 3 races


Cork 3.35

£7.50 Win Bet LISPENDENSE 10/1-11/1

£2.50 Win Bet ONEFORTHEDITCH 11/4-3/1

This is a complete leap of faith
Not much more than a guess
But I covered this horse in 2013
Suggested you put him in a tracker
This is his first chance since them



Also like two short priced horses


Lingfield 3.45

PABLO DEL PUEBLO  11/8

Win Bet



Naas 4.20

ETERNAL RAIN 6/4 

Win Bet 





Not much meat on the bone
 
Limited to what I can do today

Obvious hangover from last week

So it is just a token effort today







Preview Selections 



Cork 3.05
£8.00 Win Bet Impakt St Georges 9/4-5/2
£2.00 Win Bet Fast Felix 7/2 +
Cork 3.35
£7.50 Win Bet Lispendense 10/1-11/1
£2.50 Win Bet Onefortheditch  11/4-3/1

Lingfield 3.45
Pablo Del Pueblo 11/8
Win Bet

Naas 4.20
Eternal Reign 6/4 
Win Bet 

Naas 4.50
Heavens Gate 4/5 
Win Bet






Yesterday's Summary       

Targetted a main account bet
We had the choice of 3 options
The 3 all managed to get placed
Monbeg Park could not cope
But the saver bet rescued us
San Aer was the choice of bet
Ran well did enough for a place
Comfortable 4th with 5 places
Never really looked like winning
But he never put us under stress
Woolhampton drifted in her race
But she ran well grabbed a place
The supporting races struggled
But we got one 1 winner in those
Quinault did just about enough
To pay for the other 3 losing bets
So overall not too much in the day
Never got the big finish needed
To turn the whole week around
Would not call it a gallant effort
But competitive and gave it a go
Overall a score draw seems fair







PROFILES & PREVIEWS  
  


Cork 3.05

9/4 Impakt St Georges, 3/1 Confidential Gosip
7/2 Fast Felix 8/1 Huntsgrove, 12/1 Champagne Dawn, 
20/1 Southern Point, Truckers Cruising, 22/1 Half Montlioux
25/1 Aspurofthemoment, Cascade Hall, 28/1 Thermoscope
33/1 Four Shares, Granda George, 66/1 Forgothekeys
100/1 Ed Brady.

Maiden Hurdle 2m 2f

Modest standard set so far
But something has to win it

IMPAKT ST GEORGES a 6yo
Has experience and a recent run

FAST FELIX another 6 year old
Has experience and after 3 runs
His numbers whilst modest so far
Are at least showing improving 
Felt he ran better than it looked
When he was clear on his last run

The issue about the above horses

Just how many dangers are there

CONFIDENTIAL GOSIP is one
But she has an unorthodox profile
As a 5yo mare down from 2m 7f

Go back to 2010
Maiden Hurdles 
Run under 2m 3f
Any time of the year
Mares aged 5
Coming from 2m 6f or more
Have a 0-32 record in them
CONFIDENTIAL GOSIP fails this

Doesn't mean she can not win
But none like her have so far

HUNTSGROVE looks wrong
Just 1 run in several months
Beaten 25 lengths 13 days ago
Could not accept that profile

CHAMPAGNE DAWN a 7yo
Has not raced in 329 days now
Doesn't feel much quality in this
And little strength in depth too

The percentage bet looks this

Selection

£8.00 Win Bet IMPAKT ST GEORGES 9/4-5/2

£2.00 Win Bet FAST FELIX 7/2 +







Cork 3.35

 9/2 Onefortheditch, 7/1 Delias Pet, 8/1 Buttoned Up
9/1 Ask Cillian, 9/1 Ben Vrackie, 10/1 Lispendense,
10/1 Mist On The Bog, Thunder Rose, 12/1 Katherine
12/1 Roscomroe 14/1 Toor Moon, 16/1 Miss Aytan
20/1 Sovereign Duke b25/1 Johanna Yeats, 25/1 Leis Fein
25/1  So Easy Way

Handicap Hurdle 2m 2f

Impossible to sort this out

Without spending a day on it

BUTTONED UP is topweight

Inexperienced mare off 91 days

She does not look very appealing
KATHERINE another older mare
Was beaten miles in her last race

Get the above beaten

The class horses are these

LISPENDENSE rated 93

ONEFORTHEDITCH rated 92

The Racing Post take the view
 
" A bumper winner and fair performer on the level
  LISPENDENSE may be able to do something 
  now sent handicapping"

Purely an assumption

But almost 2 years ago
I did a piece on this horse
Suggested you watched him
And put him in your tracker

Showed promise in bumpers

Very clever trainer

Expert with older horses
Especially with absences

His trainer said at the time

He had a high cruising speed 
With a good turn of foot as well

Only ran 4 times since then
Never fancied or in winnable races

There's been a bit of money for him

This is winnable 

It is also a leap of faith as well

But been aware of him for 2 years

And perhaps today could be the day

Selection
 
£7.50 Win Bet LISPENDENSE 10/1-11/1

£2.50 Win Bet ONEFORTHEDITCH 11/4-3/1







Lingfield 3.45

5/4 Pablo Del Pueblo, 9/2 Diamond Dreamer
9/2 My Turn Now 13/2 Battle Point, 8/1 Zeno
14/1 Chiedozie, 20/1 Orange Rosetta
33/1 Spirit La Adelita.

5f Handicap

PABLO DEL PUEBLO a 6yo
Won here just 9 days ago
His first win since March 2023
When he was rated far higher

Think he might win again

DIAMOND DREAMER a 4yo
Has topweight and 5 weeks off
And has not raced over 5f before
He has to concede weight as well

CHIEDOZIE also gives weight
And has no experience over 5f either
 
MY TURN NOW is a 4yo filly
She has not raced in many months

BATTLE GROUND is exposed
He has raced just twice in 9 months

ZENO has ran just once in 104 days

Looks a manageable race

PABLO DEL PUEBLO

Looks a Class 6 horse 
Running in his right grade

If you look at his career record

He is 0-31 in Class 5 or higher

He is 6-16 in Class 6 races

May have too much for these

Selection

PABLO DEL PUEBLO 11/8

Win Bet






Naas 4.20 

7/2 Eternal Reign, 4/1 Chessalla, 9/2 Colugo
6/1 And Yet It Moves, 6/1 Flying Phoenix, 8/1 Super Exceed
10/1 Nunc Est Bibendum, 10/1 Supreme Success, 12/1 Kelbelle
16/1 Mapa, 20/1 Gladiadora, 33/1 Star Of Atlantis
100/1 Starlight Legacy.

Fillies Maiden 8f 


ETERNAL RAIN looks solid

She has raced 3 times before

Has a decent run only 9 days ao
She should be going close in this
The obvious question to ask here
Is she vulnerable to an improver

She is but very few look suitable
COLUGO was 100/1 on her debut
Small stable she was a cheap horse
With 50 days off we can beat her
KELBELLE unraced drawn in 13
Joseph O'Brien so assume nothing
Sired by Kessaar I have my doubts
She may well be the yards 2nd string
Happy to oppose all the debutants

CHESSALLA is the main danger
Looks a big tall horse with ability
But see her as danger not selection
Ran her profile it surprised me

Go back to 2008
July August September
Fillies maidens over 8f
Horses with just 1 run
Coming from a mile race
Running within 35 days
Return a poor 1-96 record
I was expecting a bit better
CHESSALLA has this profile

Expecting the favourite to win
With her momentum and fitness

Selection

ETERNAL RAIN 6/4

Win Bet






Naas 4.50

10/11 Heavens Gate, 6/1 Midnight Strike, 8/1 Morning Vietnam
10/1 Grande Marques, Violet Love, 12/1 Amazing Athena
12/1 And So To Bed, 14/1 Fiery Lucy, 14/1 Li Ban
14/1 Right And True, 14/1 Wise Men Say, 16/1 Elzem
16/1  Lethimfly, Shiota, 20/1 Brosay, 25/1 Gazelle D'or
25/1  Skillman Ave, 33/1 Fiamma, 33/1 Mood Altering
50/1 Adrenaline Rush, 50/1 Dandy Khan, 50/1 Roaming Eyes
66/1 Tino Pai, 100/1 Manhattan Chute.

Ballyhane Stakes 

2 year olds over 6f

MIDNIGHT STRIKE drawn 17
Has some decent figures in 3 runs
But she has to give 7lbs weight
To a decent 102 rated favourite
 
HEAVENS GATE from Aidan

Placed in the Albany at Ascot
When having the worst of the draw

Placed in a Group 2 next time out
Beaten by a smart expensive type
Think she should be winning this

Might be one or two lurkers here
MORNING VENTURE is one
Having won just 10 days ago 
That win was only over 5f though
And drawn in 22 not safe enough

Josepn O'Brien runs 4 horses
And So To Bed one of those
She needs to find about 10lbs

Bland and boring choice

But the favourite is well clear

And anything 4/5 or over is fine

Selection

HEAVENS GATE 4/5

Win Bet

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