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Final Deliberations 

Last of two quiet messages
Similar shape to yesterday



Tomorrow

Will be going up a gear

Newmarket's July meeting 
Decent racing elsewhere

May even be a staked bet
 
No selection advised today

Going to wait for tomorrow






Preview Selections
 
Carlisle 2.20
£6.50 Win Bet Langholm 9/2 
£3.50 Win Bet Without Delay 7/4

Yarmouth 4.10  
£5.00 Win Bet Fire Eyes 5/1-9/2 
£5.00 Place Bet Heer's Sadie  4/5
 
Yarmouth 4.40 
£7.00 Win Bet Naughty Niall 7/1-15/2 
£2.00 Win Bet Palazzo Persico 100/30 
£1.00 Win Bet Honrado 9/1









Yesterday's Summary
 
Covered only the 3 previews
Mount King a win bet failed
Match Play and a saver lost
Felt he was my likely winner
Resigned by then to lose 3-0
Roman Spring then won 14/1
More than a pleasant surprise
Didn't expect that turnaround
Quite surprised and pleased






PROFILES & PREVIEWS
  

Carlisle 2.20

4/1 Without Delay, 9/2 Langholm, 5/1 Ideal Guest
13/2 Pinjarra, 18/1 Queens Road Revue 9/1 Obee Jo
11/1 Golden Prosperity, 16/1 John Kirkup
33/1 Going Underground.

7f Handicap

Apprentice Riders
  
Opposing the bottomweights
Who look very short of class

GOLDEN PROSPERITY 
JOHN KIRKUP

PINJARA is also included
Felt there were safer options

Opposing the underraced
With a fitness disadvantage

QUEENS ROAD REVUE

Horses with recent runs
Do did not do enough last time

GOING UNDERGROUND
OBEE JO

Go back to 2004
May June July August
7f Apprentice handicaps
Horses aged 5 or older
Coming from 6f races
Have a 0-33 record in them
The following all fail this

JOHN KIRKUP
GOLDEN PROSPERITY
IDEAL GUEST

WITHOUT DELAY is shortlisted 
  
LANGHOLM has the fittest profile

Selection

£6.50 Win Bet LANGHOLM 9/2

£3.50 Win Bet WITHOUT DELAY 7/4








Yarmouth 4.10

7/2 Heer's Sadie, 9/2 Fire Eyes, 5/1 Galileo's Compass
6/1 Hinitsa Bay, 13/2 Tommy's Promise, 8/1 Anglo Saxson
14/1 Match Anthem, 14/1 Primrose Maid, 16/1 Royal Jet
16/1 Specialist View, 25/1 Embarked, 33/1 No News.

8f Handicap

Horses rated 0-57

GALILEOS COMPASS topweight
Won last time but he started 40/1
All 5 runs this year 40/1 or higher
I'd see that as a sign for caution

Against the bottomweights
Rated 46 who look short of class
 
No News
Embarked 
Primrose Maid 
Royal Jet


Several of these
Come from a Classified Stakes race

Looked at horses doing this
The winners were older horses
Who offered very recent races

Opposing the 4 year olds
Who come from Classified races
All 20 that tried have failed so far
The following horses all fail this

HINITSA BAY 
TOMMY'S PROMISE
MATCH ANTHEM

SPECIALIST VIEW is unsafe
As an older mare up in distance
Coming from the worst draw

ANGLO SAXSON is an 8yo
Has a chance not drawn to him
Seems short of recent races
Races just once in 48 days now
In the same period he has ran once

HEERS SADIE has ran 3 times

FIRE EYES has raced 4 times
 
HEERS SADIE is wide in stall 11

Go back to 1997
Yarmouth 8f races
With under 13 runners
Horses aged 5 or more
Drawn in stall 11 or higher
Have a 0-15 record so far
Inconclusive but none won 
HEERS SADIE fails this
SPECIALIST VIEW does
 
Go back to 1997
Yarmouth 8f races
With under 14 runners
Horses aged 6 or more
Drawn in stall 10 or higher
Have a 0-25 record so far
HEERS SADIE fails drawn 11

FIRE EYES has most positives

Selection
 
£5.00 Win Bet FIRE EYES 5/1-9/2


£5.00 Place Bet HEERS SADIE 4/5








Yarmouth 4.40

9/4 Palazzo Persico, 4/1 Little Tiger, 5/1 Cathedral Peak
6/1 Naughty Niall, 8/1 Honrado, 10/1 Danehill Star
10/1 Sunset In Paris, 12/1 Mc'ted.

10f Handicap

Horses rated 0-64 

LITTLE TIGER is favourite

Slightly surprised by that
He did run very well last time
Doing some hard work late
Disadvantaged up the middle
But that was 44 days ago now
He's ran just once in 74 days

There are others in this race
Who look potentially underraced

CATHEDRAL PEAK is a filly
She's not raced in two months

MC'TED an exposed 7 year old
He has ran just once in 146 days

 
PALAZZO PERSICO

Class horse
Fittest horse

Not making him the selection
But making him the saver bet

If you look at his sires record
His runners over 10f and more
On soft and heavy ground are 0-28
PALAZZO PERSICO 29th to try
There must be a stamina question

DANEHILL STAR is from a sire
With no winners over this far
When the ground was softer

Selection

£7.00 Win Bet NAUGHTY NIALL 17/2-8/1

£2.00 Win Bet PALAZZO PERSICO 100/30-7/1

£1.00 Win Bet HONRADO 9/1-10/1

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