10 Previews
1 Account Bet 



Account Bet 

Gowran Park 2.30 

GRIMAUD 7/1 

Each Way 

1/5 Odds

1-2-3-4










Final Deliberations  


 
Haydock

Having a 3rd inspection 11am


10 Previews

4 Haydock
3 Ascot
2 Lingfield
1 Gowran Park

10 is too many previews  
But having 3 inspections 
There was no other option
 
Completely lost my voice 
Might not need it anyway
Hard to find many winners
Maybe none to cheer home

Some races are guesswork

Message a bit hit and hope


Nominating only the 2 races


 
Lingfield 2.00
 
£8.50 Win THECOFFEEPODDOTCO 100/30-3/1

£1.50 Win CAYMAN TAI 5/1

She is a horse we know 
And won for us recently
Saving on her stablemate
Who has been backed
Heavily reliant on tactics
Luck in running important
So not inclined to stake it



Gowran Park 2.30 

GRIMAUD 7/1 
 
Each Way 

1/5 Odds

1-2-3-4
 
Made a good case for him
Gone each way with 1-2-3-4 
The win part is good value
The place part is the issue
But the 4 places hard to resist

Bet is based on a sire statistic

One we will need to work out







Preview Selections

Lingfield 12.50 
Voix De Bocelli 7/2
Each Way
 
Haydock 12.55
£5.00 Win Bet Macktoad 13/2-7/1
£5.00 Win Bet Manlaga 1/1

Ascot 1.15
£7.50 Win Bet Starzand 7/2-4/1
£2.50 Win Bet Etna Bianco 3/1-100/30 

Lingfield 2.00 
£8.50 Win Bet Thecoffeepoddotco 100/30-3/1 
£1.50 Win Bet Cayman Tai 5/1

Ascot 2.25
£4.00 Each Way Range 10/1-11/1
£1.00 Win Bet John Barbour 10/1
£1.00 Win Bet Jurancon 8/1-9/1
1/5 Odds
1-2-3-4

Gowran Park 2.30 
Grimaud 7/1-13/2
Each Way 
1/5 Odds
1-2-3-4

Haydock 2.40 
Dalston Lad 7/2-4/1
Each Way

Ascot 3.00 
Joyeux Machin 9/2 
Each Way

Haydock 3.15 
£8.00 Win Bet Rivers Corner 7/1 
£1.00 Win Bet Grand Geste 9/1-10/1 
£1.00 Win Bet Grand Albert 9/1-10/1
 
Haydock 3.50 
£4.50 Each Way Found A Diamond 12/1-11/1
£1.00 Win Bet Gwennie May Star 8/1 
Each Way 
1/5 Odds 
1-2-3-4











Yesterday's Summary

Dundalk saved the day
We finished up P L L W
Saver bet won the opener
Second preview frustrated
Animal fell quite early on
Edgewell finished second
Maybe ran out of stamina
Preview 3 went down too
Had the 2nd and the 3rd
Needed that last winner
Thanfully a big price one
Sporting Hero won nicely
Enough to finish in front
Fakenham looked solid
Expected so much better 
Dundalk expected nothing
It came as a nice surprise










PROFILES & PREVIEWS

 
 
Lingfield 12.50

2/1 Shahbaz, 9/2 Voix De Bocelli, 6/1 Bownder
6/1 Kathleen Mary, Man Is King, 12/1 Sea Of Charm
14/1 Johnny Boom, 14/1 Roland Garros
25/1 Imperial Decision.

12f Handicap

Amateur Jockeys

Horses rated 0-65

Some unfit profiles in this

KATHLEEN MARY
May or may not be one
Lightly raced 4yo filly
With 59 days off the track

I can show
That 12f handicaps
Run in February over 12f
Fillies aged 4
Under 17 career starts
Absent over 42 days
Have a 0-63 record
KATHLEEN MARY next to try
Some won in January and March
So can not entirely rule out
 
Some inexperienced jockeys

MAN IS KING has 1 of them
Not for me from his trainer
Or his sire either over 12f

Felt the market was right

Front 3 of 4 in the betting
Do tick most of the boxes
 
VOIX DE BOCELLI is a 6yo
Done enough to show he stays
At least he should on this track

Selection

VOIX DE BOCELLI 7/2

Each Way














Haydock 12.55

Evs Manlaga, 4/1 Pourquoi Pas Papa
5/1 Macktoad 5/1 The Mighty Celt, 12/1 Love Sonnet
25/1 Whatsgoingonmarvin, 33/1 Try Them
  
Juvenile Hurdle 2m

Shapes like a 4-5 horse race

LOVE SONNET is a filly
Not first choice with 59 days ago

The last 24 winners of this
All ran within the last 63 days
THE MIGHTY CELL does not
Last seen in France 90 days ago

POURQUOI PAS PAPA is respected
Only 1 of the previous 24 winners
Won this from a maiden hurdle
It took him 4 races to win a maiden
Not a negative just one that can win

MACKTOAD is interesting
He was odds on at Chepstow
Beaten miles in a  Group 2 race
Looks like he hated the ground
He was run off his feet early in
Should much prefer this ground

MANLAGA is hard to read
As quite a lightly raced filly
Not enough have tried to win
We opposed her at Doncaster
I'd see her as a saver bet here

Going to split stake the race

Selection

£5.00 Win Bet MACKTOAD 13/2-7/1
 
£5.00 Win Bet MANLAGA 1/1-10/11







Ascot 1.15

6/4 Mondoui'boy, 11/4 Starzand
7/2 Etna Bianco 11/2 Catchintsavo
12/1 Kildinan Prince, 40/1 Coumeenoole

Novice Hurdle 2m 3f

Number of hurdle runs

3 Etna Bianco
3 Starzand
3 Catchintsavo
1 Mondoui'boy
1 Kildinan Prince
  
MONDOUIBOY

Should he be favourite

Just 1 hurdle run
Just 1 run in 9 months
Dropping down 2f in trip

Taking on several horses
With more experience
With fitter profiles as well
On soft ground a stiff track

We will soon find out
But that profile is a bit raw
KILDINAN PRINCE likewise

CATCHINTSAVO could win 
Took 3 runs to win a maiden
But no surprise if he did win

The Challow hurdle

Has been a good trial for this

ETNA BIANCO ran there
Even if well beaten at 25/1
Going to make him a saver


Selection

£7.50  Win Bet STARZARD 7/2-4/1

£2.50 Win Bet ETNA BIANCO 3/1-100/30 










Lingfield 2.00

3/1 Mc Loven, 7/2 Thecoffeepoddotco, 5/1 Beaumadier
7/1 Mick's Spirit, 8/1 Cayman Tai, 10/1 Distant Rumble
10/1 Hello Luna, 12/1 Honour Your Dreams
14/1 Sandscreendeliverd, 33/1 Manhattan Chute.

5f Handicap

Horses rated 0-70
 
THECOFFEEPODDOTCO

Been on my radar a while 

Oppose her 3 runs ago
She was drawn 1 at Southwell
Having her handicap debut

We backer her 2 runs ago
When she won very easily here

Last time at Wolverhampton
Finished well into third place
Didn't think she was ridden well

Don't think she has finished yet
Could see her winning 2-3 more

MC LOVEN her market danger
Has topweight and is drawn 1
He also has 59 days absence
 
Go back to 2000 
Lingfield 5f handicaps 
Any class of race
Any time of year
With over 9 runners
Horses aged 3 or older
Absent more than 32 days
Drawn in stall 1
Have a weak 1-68 record
MC LOVEN is next to try

Staying with the draw stats

Go back to 2000 
Lingfield 5f handicaps 
Any class of race
Any time of year
Horses with under 15 runs
Drawn in stall 9 or higher
Return a 0-37 record in the

HELLO LUNA fails drawn 10

SANDSCREENDELIVERD fails

MICK'S SPIRIT is average
Without a run in 21 days
Don't think he will have enough

HONOUR YOUR DREAMS
Looks help on his latest run
Finished behind Thecoffeepoddotco

CAYMAN TAI is respected
Stablemate of Thecoffeepoddotco
Hard to read dropping down to 5f

DISTANT RUMBLE likewise
Not raced over 5f since a 2yoi

BEAUMADIER is a danger

Ran 5 days ago

Finished in 4th place
Thecoffeepoddotco was 3rd
Could have had an excuse
He went off pretty fast

Going to be reliant
On jockeys timing their runs right
I think the filly should win

Two saver options

BEAUMADIER was one

CAYMAN TAI got the vote
Classier horse and stablemate

Selection

£8.50 Win Bet THECOFFEEPODDOTCO 100/30-3/1

£1.50 Win Bet CAYMAN TAI 5/1








Ascot 2.25

5/1 Captain Teague, 5/1 Lightningupourdays
6/1 Listentoyourheart, 7/1 Act Of Authority
8/1 John Barbour 8/1 Jurancon, 8/1 Range
11/1 Moveit Like Minnie, 12/1 Fiercely Proud
16/1 De Temps En Temps, 20/1 Kamaxos
25/1 Kateira, Rambo T, 33/1 Hurricane Bay
33/1No Ordinary Joe.
 
Handicap Hurdle 2m 3f
 
24 Past renewals 

Statistics sent midweek

Not sure I should trust those

No 4 year olds
No 5 year olds
No 6 year olds

Every horse aged 7-8-9-10
 
Horses aged 9 or more
Have a 0-38 record in this race
Can we trust angles like that
With no youngsters in the race

Opposing the most exposed 
Horses with over 20 runs
Have a 0-87 record since 2008
Mainly outsiders fail this angle
MOVE IT LIKE MINNIE does too

Against the horses from fences
All 31 that tried this got beaten
The following horses fail this

HURRICAME BAY
KAMAXOS

Horses rated 121 or less
Have never won this race

LIGHTNINGUPOURDAYS rated 119
Has ran just once in 13 months
Horses under 8 years old
Just 1 run this season are 0-31
LIGHTNINGUPOURDAYS fails this

CAPTAIN TEAGUE is an 8yo
Just the one race since 2024
And he pulled up in that race
 
Horses with over 15 runs
Having over 9 hurdle runs
Absent more than 7 days
Have a 0-57 record in this 
Several outsiders fail this
So do the following as well
 
MOVE IT LIKE MINNIE 
KATEIRA
ACT OF AUTHORITY
FIERCELY PROUD

ACT OF AUTHORITY is unsafe
Very exposed with 16 hurdles
Only 1 past winner had over 13

Do not want a poor last run
Horses beaten 20 + lengths
Have a 0-43 record in this race
FIERCELY PROUD fails this
 
Similar handicaps in February
Horses aged 7 or older
Coming from 2m hurdle races
That was not a graded race
Have a 0-39 record in them 
DE TEMPS EN TEMPS fails this

LISTENTOYOURHEART a mare
She won last time out at Windsor
Been over 6 weeks since that race
Not sure we want a mare like her
Trying to follow up off 44 days

JURANCON can't be ruled out

JOHN BARBOUR a 7yo
Also won last time over 6 weeks ago
Another that's not too exposed
Coming off a career best figure  

RANGE is a 9yo
Wrong age but no 4-5-6 year olds
And he is far from too exposed
Career best figure last time
 
Selection

£4.00 Each Way RANGE 10/1-11/1

£1.00 Win Bet JOHN BARBOUR 10/1-9/1

£1.00 Win Bet JURANCON 8/1-9/1

1/5 Odds

1-2-3-4









Gowran Park 2.30

3/1 Themanintheanorak, 4/1 The King Of Prs, 13/2 Grimaud
7/1 Jacovec Cavern, 10/1 Grandero Bello, 10/1 Laxxio
10/1 Miss Corby, 12/1 Dancing Jeremy, 12/1 Krabat
12/1 Quest With Speed, 14/1 Teed Up, 16/1 Must Go Now
20/1 Brideswell Lad, 25/1 Whatsavailable
50/1 Ossifer Hops.
  
Handicap Hurdle 2m 4f

Horses rated 0-123

Complicated race

Not least with 5 horses
Coming from a chase

Race history shows
Horses from a chase
Beaten in that race are 0-28
The following fail this 0-23

DANCING JEREMY
KRABAT
GRANDERO BELLO
THE KIRK OF PRS
JACOVEC CAVERN

15 of the 16 past winners
Had 20 or fewer career runs
Those with more are 1-59

Several outsiders fail this
Others that also have this issue

TEED UP
QUEST WITH SPEED
DANCING JEREMY
THE KIRK OF PRS
JACOVEC CAVERN
KRABAT
BRIDESWELL LAD

LAXXIO is a 5yo
Just 3 runs is on the raw side

THEMANINTHEANORAK

Won 11 days ago

He's ran once in 85 days
Not impossible he could bounce

Past renewals show
Horses running within 15 days
Have a 0-28 in 16 renewals
THEMANINTHEANORAK fails this
But only 7 were like him
Winning in the last 15 dats
MISS CORBY is a mare
Happy to avoid off 259 days
 
GRIMAUD

Interesting runner

Been opposing him a few times

As he was out of stamina range
 
Horses sired by Zoffany
Running over hurdles
Ground softer than good
Running over 2m 5f or more
Have a winless 0-55 record

GRIMAUD has failed this angle
On several of his recent races

One of them at Navan 3 runs ago

Favourite for a listed handicap
That was over 3m 1f on heavy
Way out of his stamina range

This is a weaker race
And only over 2 miles and 4f

If he shows up and performs
He has every chance in this grade

GRANDERO BELLO

Could be a saver bet

Horses from cases like him
Do not have the best record
But he has had 70 days off
So feel its less significant

He could be thrown in

But he'd mess the staking up

Selection

GRIMAUD 7/1-13/2
 
Each Way 

1/5 Odds

1-2-3-4








Haydock 2.40

3/1 Dalston Lad, 9/2 Reckless Spending
5/1 Ubatuba, 5/1 Lon Chaney, 6/1 Legendary Luke
15/2 Whiskey Yankee, 14/1 Kasino Des Mottes
20/1 Skuna Bay, 33/1 Tashkhan
40/1 Caughtinyourtrance.

Prestige Novices' Hurdle

Graded Novice 3m

Prefer experience in this race

WHISKEY YANKEE lacks that

Just 2 career runs 
Just 1 over hurdles

The last horse to win this race
With under 3 hurdles was 2015

WHISKEY YANKEE fails this
He is the youngest horse in this 
The only 5yo winners of this
Won with 9 6 5 lifetime races
He is a long way short of that

If you go back to 2014
Horses with under 4 lifetime runs
Have a 0-27 record in this race

WHISKEY YANKEE fails this

UBATUBA does with 2 races

LEGENDARY LUKE does too

LOU CHANEY has 3 career runs
No negative but Ideally like more

KASINO DE MOTTES is a 6yo
No strong objection to his profile

RECKLESS SPENDING is top rated
The known unknown is 12 days off
Comes back quickly after last time
Will this race just come too soon ?

DALSTON LAD is a positive
Despite horses from a handicap
Having not won this race before
None won but several got placed


Selection

DALSTON LAD 7/2-4/1

Each Way

 











Ascot 3.00

7/2 Joyeux Machin, Montregard, 5/1 Jipcot
13/2 Nocte Volatus, 8/1 Your Darling
10/1 Threeunderthrufive, 12/1 Invincible Nao
14/1 Gericault Roque, 14/1 Hunter Legend
20/1 Credo, 20/1 Sam Brown.

Swinley Chase

Listed Handicap Chase 3m

15 Past renewals 

Older horses 
Are well represented this year

The last horse aged 11 or more
To win this was back in 2012

The last horse aged 11 or more
To win with more than 11 stone
Was Aldaniti way back in 1981

Opposing all these older horses

SAM BROWN
THREEUNDERTHRUFIVE
CREDO
NOCTE VOLATUS
YOUR DARLING

Horses aged 9 or more
Over 13 lifetime starts
Coming from a Non graded race
Have a 0-25 record in this race
The following horses fail this

NOCTE VOLATUS
YOUR DARLING
GERICAULT ROQUE
HUNTER LEGEND

INVINCIBLE NAO is an 8yo
Not first choice down 5f in trip

MONTREGARD is a 7yo

JIPCOT is a 7 year old

Both shortlisted
Older horses do score better

The last 9 winners
All came from listed/graded races
Those that did not were 0-40

JIPCOT fails this 0-40 angle
MONTREGARD does as well

JIPCOT is quite sexy
But 7 year olds are not the best age

Go back to 1997
January to March
Handicap Chases over 3m +
Listed and Graded races
Horses aged 7
Over 8 lifetime runs
Over 4 chase runs
From a non graded race
Over 2m 7f or shorter
Have a 0-50 record in them 
JIPCOT the 51st to try this

JOYEUX MACHIN a 9yo
Looks a more solid option
But coming off a fall not ideal

 
Selection

JOYEUX MACHIN 9/2

Each Way






Haydock 3.15

3/1 Myretown, 7/2 Deafening Silence, 8/1 Richmond Lake
8/1 Rivers Corner, 9/1 Git Maker, 10/1 Grand Geste
10/1 Holokea, 11/1 Grand Albert, 12/1 Monbeg Genius
16/1 Neo King, 25/1 Top Of The Bill

Handicap Chase 3m 4f

Grand National Trial

Opposing the two topweights
Both of them exposed 10yo's

Go back to 2013
Handicap Chases
Run over 3m 4f or more
Listed and graded races
Horses aged 10 or more
More than 17 career runs
Running off 140 or higher
Return a 1-308 record
Those absent over 23 days 0-237
The following horses both fail this

TOP OF THE BILL
MONBEG GENIUS

The last 21 winners of this
Were all rated at least 121

20 of the last 21 winners
Were rated at least 126

NEO KING is only rated 119

GRAND ALBERT rated 122
He has been rated higher
So his rating can be forgiven 

HOLOKEA is rated only 124
He is going up 2 grades in class
Almost all horses doing that
Won their last race he didn't
Every past 7yo winner of this
Came from a higher class of race
 
Past winners
Had the following chase runs
 
9 8 13 3 20 24 7 17
8 11 11 14 5 11 13
11 14 5 5 11 7 6 9 3
 
GRAND JESTE has 4 chase rims
Only 2 of the last 24 winners
Had less than 5 chase runs
And pulling up just 3 weeks ago 
Doesn't make him more appealing
  
22 of the last 24 winners
Had under 18 chase races
 
RICHMOND LAKE has 19 chases

Go back to 2001
Horses with over 14 chase runs
Carrying 10st 2lbs or more
Have a 0-78 record in this 
RICHMOND LAKE fails this

GIT MAKER is a 10yo
Pulled up in the Welsh National
  
Horses sired by Saddler Maker
Running over 3m 2f or further
Class 2 and higher grades
Have a 0-80 record so far
GIT MAKER has this problem
Would not worry too much here
He was 3rd in a Scottish National
The 2023 winner of this race
Also pulled up in the Welsh National
He was also a 10 year old like him
What he does not have is momentum

DEAFENING SILENCE is a 9yo
Finished 3rd in the Welsh National

January and February
Every and any race
Horses who last time out
Ran in the Welsh National
Having had under 10 chase runs
Have a 1-33 record since 1997
Not rule out on just that angle
 
MYRETOWN is a 9yo
He has to prove he stays in class

Horses sired by Dylan Thomas
Running over 3m 2f or further
Class 2 and higher grades
Have a 0-7 record so far
Inconclusive but none have won

What bothers me a bit
Whilst he has 2 runs this season
He lasted only 9 fences in one race
So he has not had 2 completed runs

Past renewals show
Horses with under 21 career runs
Under 3 runs that season
Carrying 11st 9lbs and more
Have a 0-7 record so far
Inconclusive none have won
MYRETOWN  has 11st 11lbs
With just over 1 run this year
Just wonder if that will be enough

Won the 2025 Ultima at Cheltenham 
Did it with a light weight of 10st 3lbs
If he wins this and goes there again
He could nearly have the topweight
He's only ran twice since the festival
Maybe this is more of a prep race
 
RIVERS CORNER is an 8yo
He is going up 2 class grades
Untested in this class of race
Sire's bred listed/graded winners
None though over 3m 4f or more
His runners over 3m 4f+
In Class 2 and higher grade
Have a 0-13 record so far
Class and stamina question mark
But improving with momentum
And I see stamina in pedigree


My Breeding stats

Say the only horses from a sire 
Proven under races conditions
Are the following 

RICHMOND LAKE
MONBEG GENIUS
GRAND JESTE 

GRAND JESTE the only one of them
Who I could consider as an option


Selection

£8.00 Win Bet RIVERS CORNER 7/1
 
£1.00 Win Bet GRAND JESTE 9/1-10/1

£1.00 Win Bet GRAND ALBERT 9/1-10/1








Haydock 3.50

11/2 Minella Emperor, Nurse Susan, 7/1 Champagne Chic
8/1 Doughmore Bay, Gwennie May Star, 9/1 Go To War
10/1 Stone's Throw, 11/1 Chart Topper, 12/1 Off The Jury
12/1 Stay Away Fay, 14/1 Found A Diamond, Red Dirt Road
20/1 Cave Court, Jupiter Des Mottes, 25/1 Thanksforthehelp

Handicap Hurdle 3m

Horses rated 0-140
 
Long history 

Waiting for a big weight winner 
Horses with 11st 12lbs or more
Have a 0-18 record in this race

3 horses fail this weight angle

STAY AWAY FAY
NURSE SUSAN
CHART TOPPER

Opposing the most exposed

CAVE COURT
THANKSFORTHEHELP

MINELLA EMPEROR has positives
But has been very busy this season
More than usual for a race like this
Taking in his first handicap as well

RED DIRT ROAD is underaced
As a 9yo with 1 run in 11 months
JUPITER DES MOTTES a 7yo
Rejected with months off the track 

OFF THE JURY a 7yo
Comes from a maiden hurdle
No past winners managed that
He has prior handicap form
So would not rule him out of staying

The Sires hurdlers
Running over 2m 5f or more
Running in class 4 or higher
On ground softer than good
Have a 0-39 record so far
OFF THE JURY next to try

STONE'S THROW is a 6yo
Bit too exposed for 48 days off

Past renewals since 2004
Last time out winners
With over 7 hurdle races
Absent more than 14 days
Return a 0-27 record
The following have this profile

STONE'S THROW
NURSE SUSAN
GWENNIE MAY STAR
GO TO WAR

DOUGHMORE BAY is respected
No reason he will not win this
But there are younger options
Who have less weight than him

CHAMPAGNE CHIC won last time
Only having his 8th career start
Not quite a match to any winners
I'd have liked a bit less weight

GWENNIE MAY STAR shortlisted
As a lightly raced/weighted 6yo

FOUND A DIAMOND a 6yo
Needs to improve up in class
But not by much on his figures
And he has a nice light weight
 
Selection

£4.50 Each Way FOUND A DIAMOND 12/1-11/1

£1.00 Win Bet GWENNIE MAY STAR 8/1

Each Way

1/5 Odds

1-2-3-4

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