Below for you I have some interesting stat research for this Saturday's Eider Chase.
This is the Future Betting Angles sub section pinched out of Monday's Full Member Message
I hope you find it of use for sieving contenders if you like to DIY your own selections.
If however you prefer someone else to do a lot of the hard research work,
feel free to join us on Saturday for Guy's deeper day of race analysis
and final conclusions for this race and others.
For Saturday only visit
Or for the Sat & Sun Weekender service see
The Full Member service is an option too of course.
However I don't want to push that one too hard right now
because we usually run a bit of a deal in early March for Cheltenham.
You waiting a bit to bag the bargain is probably the better option.
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FUTURE BETTING ANGLES
[ Originally sent to Full Members on Feb 17th.
Note that the briefly mentioned Eider horse
Iron Bridge is now a non runner. ]
Cheltenham Festival
Starts 3 weeks tomorrow
Cheltenham Handicap entries
Are being announced tomorrow
Weights are published Feb 25th
Not the time to cover Cheltenham
Two big races this weekend
Saturday
Kempton 3.35
Ladbrokes Trophy Handicap
Saturday
Newcastle 2.10
Eider Handicap Chase
EIDER CHASE
Statistics for this are below
It's one of my favourite races
Will be giving it a lot of time
Jonjo O' Neill
Dictates the weights right now
Trains the 2 highest weights
Collectors Item
Iron Bridge
When the entries came out
Collectors Item was backed
But may have to avoid him
As an 8 year old with 12st
The Eider started in 1953
No horse under 9 years old
Won with 11st 9lbs or more
Going right back to 1953
Collectors Item will fail this
Several other horses
Fail difficult angles as well
So want to prioritise this race
Starting with race statistics below
Ante Post Statistics
Saturday Febuary 22nd
Newcastle 2.10
Eider Handicap Chase
Class 2 Handicap 4m1f
Official Ratings of winners
126 132 132 139 135 140 127
126 134 133 131 132 125 139
138 131 137 123 123
Go back to 1998
Every winner since 1998
Was officially rated 123 or more
Only 1 past winner of this
Has won rated 140 or higher
That was a 9 year old (2018)
Horses with 11st 10lbs +
Are 0-18 in this handicap
Past winners
Had the Following Chase runs
7 20 6 9 17 7 7 11 8 11
5 5 7 13 21 9 7 13 13 8
17 of the previous 20 winners
Won with under 14 chase runs
No Past winner of this
Had under 5 chase runs
Runs since August 1st
Past winners had these runs
3 5 3 4 4 3 2 3 5 3 3 5
2 5 3 4 4 6 7 7 4 3 6 6
No winner had just 1 run
No horses with over 7 chase runs
Won with under 3 runs that season
All 52 that tried this were beaten
Horses aged 10 or more
More than 19 lifetime runs
Have a 0-91 record in them
Go back to 1997
No horse aged 8 or younger
Won absent more than 42 days
Horses aged 8
Have not had a great record
Since 2003 they are just 1-47
None won absent over 29 days
No past winner
Ran over 2m 6f or shorter last time
Horses from 3m 5f or more
Running within 41 days
Finishing the race last time
Have a 0-17 record in them
Horses from 3m 2f or more
Running within 41 days
Finishing the race last time
But beaten in that race
Have a 0-27 record in them
Past winners of this race
Had the following hurdle runs
3 4 6 5 9 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 7 0
Most had under 10 hurdle runs
Horses with over 27 career runs
Have a 0-64 record in this race
14 of the last 16 winners
Shared the below profile
Aged 7-8-9-10-11
5-14 Chase runs
Under 13 Hurdles
11st 12lbs or less
2 + runs in 4 months
Coming from 2m 7f
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