The next few days brings some decent racing action
in the form of Glorious Goodwood. Not only that
but also running is the Galway Festival over in Ireland.
I thought I would pop up a quick celebratory offer
just in case you fancied coming in for a test
of the Full service here for a discounted period.
The offer is a pretty straightforward half price month one here.
As such it is better suited perhaps to those of you interested in testing
us out with view to a longer term subscription as opposed to those of you
with an interest in this week only.
Here is a link to the deal page
Over the next few days Goodwood is likely to dominate Guy's racing analysis message
but he won't be trying to do a through the whole card style of thing.
More so he will focus on the races he likes most.
So significant Goodwood coverage but not every single race.
Galway should get a look in as well.
Races from smaller courses could pop up too in his analysis
should one of his database stat filter alerts start pinging noisily.
Predominantly Goodwood and Galway however over the next few days.
His message to current full member clients yesterday
about the week to come was that he was
"Going into it very confident"
He had a nice Account bet winner on Saturday past
which always helps buoy up confidence.
NIGHT ON EARTH at early 10/1 - 11/1 that one was.
If interested in his reasoning behind it see
Guy explains there with stats and factors of form why he went for that horse.
To my eyes however the standout line is
"this horse is too overpriced"
The smart punters mindset in a nutshell is that one.
Lets say for the sake of argument 6/1 was deemed the true odds and 10/1 was available.
I think a lot of you when presented with such a conclusion would deem it worth
a punt to an appropriate sensible stake on the grounds of value.
Go outside punting, investment and perhaps insurance circles however and
many humans can be very risk averse.
6/1 true odds implies failure 6 times out of every 7.
The likelihood of immediate failure is their focus.
It seems common sense enough to understand that
risk avoidance is common normal and natural for many.
It takes a different mindset to focus on risking on
positive edge over the longer term.
One can swing to far of course with blind uncalculated risk and adrenalin seeking.
Such differences in people types are not new.
Fair chance back in cave man days there was a tribe living in
a dank old cave grubbing for roots on sparse land.
There were tales of a land over the mountain however where
the water was clear, fruit was abundant and the hunting was great.
Most may have argued it was ok and safe in their original cave.
A big list of dangers and risks in their mind voted they stay put.
On the flip side excessively gung ho sorts may have charged out of the cave
dreaming of a big mammoth steak. Straight into death by frost bite
or by sabre tooth tiger bite perhaps.
The shrewder risk takers may have paused to calculate risk and reward.
Risks then were reduced by adding in some safety filters.
- Do we have enough provisions?
- Do we have enough weapons?
- Is it summer and not winter?
- Have the sabre tooth tigers eaten today yet?
I think one of the reasons for human race success is this
split between safer non players and measured risk takers.
So thumbs up to you I guess if you are across the zero risk line.
Without your sort humanity would not have progressed very far.
Best of luck
Mick