Hi Folks
A bit of a mixed bag this week for you.
- Shameless Plug
- Last Saturday
- Horse Racing Punter Interview Part2
- Betting Calculators
Shameless Plug
Let's get this over with first and out of the way.
If you ever fancy our paid race analysis service
simply go to our home page at
From there you can find join options for your pick of
Saturday Only,
Weekender
or
Full Service for almost daily advice.
As you can tell my time as an engineer taught me little about high hype.
Last Saturday
In quick summary there was some frustration as the main Account Bet got beat.
Guy split his stake across two horses.
By law of sod they came 2nd and 3rd.
More smiles came later in the day however.
Reverend Hubert Won at 8/1 available around at message time but 13/2 SP
Then shortly after that
Al Hussar Won at 18/1 available around at message time but 14/1 SP
The full warts and all message is viewable at
Horse Racing Punter Interview Part2
A few weeks back I sent you out a link to an interview with one of our members.
Worth a nosey if not yet read.
One thing our friend Simon was keen to hear more about was how
other members used the service here.
So on Simons behalf I asked them and a few of them bothered to reply.
There is a bit of a mix of style and methodologies.
See here
Betting Calculators
One thing I picked up on myself from that part 2 above was
that several were keen on and had been long term doing well from
using multiple bets.
Inspired by that I thought I would have a stab at making
a calculator tool to help work out cash winnings from
doubles, patents or yankees. They can be win or each way.
Whilst in the tool making zone I made a separate one
for dutching. ie say you have two or more horses in a race
and you want to win the same amount irrespective of which
horse wins. It also lets you round stakes if you want to.
that makes it a bit more real life I guess.
Few will want to go to the bookie with a £24.69 pence stake.
Set rounding to the nearest £1 and it will output £25.
A second option on the dutching calculator lets you switch to insurance mode.
Here you are more so seeking to win net £0 should your insurance horse win.
Quite a few of the race advices put out by Guy here actually roughly follow
this insurance bet style. It is a style that can help smooth out a touch
the normal ups and downs.
Links to both betting calculators may be found at
Only code geeks may be interested in this next bit.
For these calculators I used react js.
It was my first time ever using it.
My impression is that the calculators run quite fast.
Cambridgeshire Stats
It has been a while since Guy sent Full members
any major race ante post stats.
Hence few of them to pass on in free news.
However they returned this week for The Cambridgeshire.
As ever he does not bother with the run of the mill commonly found stuff.
With odds available a factor of supply and demand I see little
long term edge value in looking at the same thing as the majority.
Phase 1 research is this below.
ie raw stats / trends / facts to do with the history of the race.
By the time Saturday morning comes Guy will have done more
to cross reference stats against actual runners and write it all up.
I know some of you prefer to do your own thing.
If so some of these may be of some use to you.
Ante Post Statistics
Saturday 27th September
Newmarket 3.40
Cambridgeshire Handicap 9f
Horses aged 7 or more
Have a 0-104 record since 1997
Past renewals since 2001
Horses with 27 + runs are 0-149
Horses with 24 + runs
Absent over 2 days are 1-184
Horses with 22 + runs
Absent over 2 weeks are 1-144
Horses with 18 + runs
Aged 3 are 0-4
Aged 4 are 0-85
Aged 7 + are 0-70
Horses from pattern races
Have a miserable 1-195 record
Only the 2013 winner managed it
Horses from 12f or more
Have a 0-33 record since 1997
Horses from Class 4 or lower
Have a 0-43 record since 1997
Recent winners
Had these runs that year
5 4 7 4 4 3 6 6 8 7 4 5 7 4
Avoid those with just 1-2 runs
Horses aged 3
With over 6 runs are 4-115
Those with 1 run in 2 months
Have a 0-32 record in this
Horses aged 3
With over 6 runs
Carrying 9st or more
Have a 0-46 record so far
Horses who last time out
Lost by 6 or more lengths
Have a 2-277 record since 1997
Horses with over 14 runs
Absent more than 49 days
Have a 0-57 record in this
Go back to 1998
Horses with under 5 runs are 1-28
Horses with under 4 runs are 0-12
16 of the last 18 winners
Were all rated 91 of higher
3 Year olds won this 7 times
They all had 4-15 career runs
None had listed or group form
Winning Draws
4 35 26 21 25 29 21 29 28
8 of the previous 9 winners
Were drawn 21 of higher
The exception was last year
Since the stalls renumbered
Horses drawn in stalls 10-18
Have a winless 0-125 record
Horses aged 5
Won 4 past renewals
They won off 87 91 104 99
They all ran within 37 days
ll had 18-26 career starts
Horses aged 4
Won 11 renewals since 1997
9 of the 11 winners aged 4
Had between 8st 7lbs-9st 9lbs
They all had between 4-17 runs
Horses aged 5 or older
With under 15 career races
Have a 0-82 record in this
Horses winning last time
Running in the last 20 days
Have a 0-42 record in this
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